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Lotohaapai vs Pago Youth

Australia & Oceania Australia & Oceania

OFC Champions League 2012/2013
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Match Events

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AI Match Summary

Lotohaapai host Pago Youth in the OFC Champions League 2012/2013. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Lotohaapai have averaged 1.63 scored and 1.5 conceded recently, against Pago Youth's 1 scored and 5.5 conceded. Head-to-head, Lotohaapai have won 2 to Pago Youth's 0, with 1 draws. They last met on Jan 27, 2019, ending 1:5. Model xG sits at 3.56 vs 1.25, favoring Lotohaapai. Lotohaapai in a double chance market carries the safer edge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Lotohaapai
28%
Draws
22%
Pago Youth
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Lotohaapai

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Lotohaapai has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Pago Youth.
  • Model forecasts a 50% win probability edge for Lotohaapai.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in OFC Champions League 2012/2013 provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Lotohaapai Clean Sheet 19%
Pago Youth Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lotohaapai Pago Youth
Matches Played 21 14
Wins 5 0
Draws 2 3
Losses 14 11
Goals Scored 1.63 1
Goals Conceded 1.5 5.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 5.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 27, 2019 OFC Champions League
Pago Youth vs Lotohaapai
1:5
Oct 19, 2013 OFC Champions League
Pago Youth vs Lotohaapai
0:0
May 3, 2012 OFC Champions League
Lotohaapai vs Pago Youth
6:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lotohaapai 49 / 100
Pago Youth 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lotohaapai Pago Youth

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LOT Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lotohaapai scored in 67% of their last 21 games.

Pago Youth let in goals in 100% of their last 14 matches.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Lotohaapai went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Pago Youth lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Lotohaapai VS Pago Youth
1.63 Goals Scored 1
1.5 Goals Conceded 5.5
63% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 75%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Tupapa321014:47
2Lotohaapai321011:47
3Kiwi31027:53
4Pago Youth30031:200