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Loubha vs ASFAG

Guinea Guinea

Ligue 1
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

ASFAG in this Ligue 1 matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored ASFAG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Loubha
35%
Draws
24%
ASFAG
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Loubha

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • ASFAG have won more games recently than Loubha.
  • Win probability leans Loubha's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Regular Ligue 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Loubha Clean Sheet 13%
ASFAG Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Loubha ASFAG
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 6 9
Draws 8 6
Losses 16 15
Goals Scored 0.63 1.1
Goals Conceded 1.27 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 30, 2026 Ligue 1
Loubha vs ASFAG
1:3
Dec 6, 2025 Ligue 1
ASFAG vs Loubha
1:0
Jun 3, 2021 Ligue 1
Loubha vs ASFAG
1:0
Feb 24, 2021 Ligue 1
ASFAG vs Loubha
1:1
Jan 10, 2020 Ligue 1
ASFAG vs Loubha
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Loubha 39 / 100
ASFAG 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Loubha ASFAG

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Loubha Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

ASFAG's defensive record shows goals conceded in 80% of 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Loubha stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Loubha's goal record stands at 53% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Loubha VS ASFAG
0.75 Goals Scored 1.5
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Loubha

(Home)
20 Apr
Loubha
1 : 0
Wakriya AC
17 Apr
Renaissance
0 : 0
Loubha
13 Apr
Loubha
1 : 1
Kaloum Star
08 Apr
Loubha
0 : 1
RCC Kamsar
04 Apr
Foot Elite
2 : 1
Loubha
Page 1 of 6

ASFAG

(Away)
22 Apr
Hafia
1 : 1
ASFAG
18 Apr
CI Kamsar
5 : 0
ASFAG
12 Apr
ASFAG
1 : 3
Ashanti GB (SAG)
08 Apr
ASFAG
2 : 2
Milo FC
04 Apr
ASFAG
1 : 1
Karfamoriah
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Horoya 26 17 5 4 42:19 56
2 Hafia 26 15 7 4 34:16 52
3 CI Kamsar 26 15 3 8 37:21 48
4 Kaloum Star 26 12 8 6 31:18 44
5 Milo FC 26 11 10 5 33:18 43
6 Wakriya AC 26 8 9 9 22:26 33
7 ASFAG 26 9 5 12 31:35 32
8 Foot Elite 26 8 6 12 30:41 30
9 Sangaredi 26 7 8 11 22:28 29
10 Ashanti GB (SAG) 26 7 8 11 23:32 29
11 RCC Kamsar 26 7 7 12 25:31 28
12 Karfamoriah 26 7 7 12 24:33 28
13 Renaissance 26 6 8 12 20:35 26
14 Loubha 26 4 7 15 14:35 19
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification)