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Loudoun United 2 vs Bethesda SC

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USL League Two
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AI Match Summary

Loudoun United 2 play Bethesda SC in the USL League Two. It looks like a close match. Recently, Loudoun United 2 averaged 2.62 goals scored and 2.31 conceded. Bethesda SC averaged 2.31 goals scored and 2.08 conceded. In past meetings, Loudoun United 2 won 1, Bethesda SC won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Jun 19, 2026 ended 3:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.44 for Loudoun United 2 and 1.69 for Bethesda SC. This points to a Loudoun United 2 double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Loudoun United 2
15%
Draws
42%
Bethesda SC
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Loudoun United 2

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / Medium Confidence
  • Loudoun United 2 picked up more points recently compared to Bethesda SC.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.44 vs 1.69 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 93%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 96%
Over 2.5 Goals 93%
Over 3.5 Goals 56%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Loudoun United 2 Clean Sheet 13%
Bethesda SC Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 86%
Second Half Goal 91%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Loudoun United 2 Bethesda SC
Matches Played 13 13
Wins 7 7
Draws 1 2
Losses 5 4
Goals Scored 2.62 2.31
Goals Conceded 2.31 2.08
Expected Goals (xG) 2.75 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 2.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 19, 2026 USL League Two
Loudoun United 2 vs Bethesda SC
3:2
Jun 13, 2026 USL League Two
Bethesda SC vs Loudoun United 2
3:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Loudoun United 2 41 / 100
Bethesda SC 40 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Loudoun United 2 Bethesda SC

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Loudoun United 2 or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +23%
2.86
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +6.9%
1.15
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Loudoun United 2 attacking → ← attacking Bethesda SC

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Loudoun United 2 scored in 92% of their last 13 games.

Bethesda SC let in goals in 77% of their last 13 matches.

Games between these two average 4.50 goals.

Loudoun United 2 went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Bethesda SC lost 0 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

22 Points in last 5 23
2.75 Goals expected (xG) 1.88
1.50 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.13