Sport Picks
Loudoun United vs Indy Eleven - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
USA
USL Championship Segra Field, Leesburg, VA 
Match Events
16'
16'
Davis III E.
39'
39'
Rendon B.
44'
44'
Rendon B.
Assist: O'Brien J.
AI Match Summary
The USL Championship game between Loudoun United and Indy Eleven finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
40%
20%
40%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
40%
/ Low Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Indy Eleven come out ahead of Loudoun United on wins alone.
- Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
- European nights carry their own weight — this USL Championship fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Loudoun United Clean Sheet 14%
Indy Eleven Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Loudoun United | Indy Eleven |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 29 |
| Wins | 5 | 11 |
| Draws | 11 | 6 |
| Losses | 12 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.18 | 1.28 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.64 | 1.21 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.31 | 1.63 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 3, 2026 USL Championship
Loudoun United vs Indy Eleven
1:1
Jul 25, 2026 USL Championship
Indy Eleven vs Loudoun United
0:1
Oct 19, 2025 USL Championship
Indy Eleven vs Loudoun United
2:1
Aug 16, 2025 USL Championship
Loudoun United vs Indy Eleven
3:2
Oct 8, 2024 USL Championship
Loudoun United vs Indy Eleven
0:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Loudoun United Compare
Top Goalscorer Farr J.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66
Indy Eleven Compare
Top Goalscorer Rendon B.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Loudoun United 30 / 100
Indy Eleven 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Loudoun United Indy Eleven
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Loudoun United Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Loudoun United's goal record stands at 71% scoring rate across 28 recent games.
Indy Eleven's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 29 matches.
H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.
Difficult form: Indy Eleven registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Loudoun United VS Indy Eleven
1.38 Goals Scored 1.5
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Loudoun United
(Home) 03 Oct
Loudoun United
1 : 1 Indy Eleven
25 Sept
Sporting Jax
1 : 4 Loudoun United
19 Sept
Louisville City
2 : 1 Loudoun United
12 Sept
Pittsburgh Riverhounds
1 : 0 Loudoun United
04 Sept
Loudoun United
4 : 5 Colorado Springs
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
Loudoun United
1 : 1 Indy Eleven
04 Sept
Loudoun United
4 : 5 Colorado Springs
22 Aug
Loudoun United
0 : 0 New Mexico
08 Aug
Loudoun United
0 : 1 Charleston
01 Aug
Loudoun United
2 : 0 Hartford Athletic
Page 1 of 3
Indy Eleven
(Away) 03 Oct
Loudoun United
1 : 1 Indy Eleven
30 Sept
Rhode Island
1 : 0 Indy Eleven
26 Sept
Indy Eleven
0 : 2 Miami FC
20 Sept
Indy Eleven
0 : 1 Oakland Roots
15 Sept
Indy Eleven
4 : 0 Brooklyn FC
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
Loudoun United
1 : 1 Indy Eleven
30 Sept
Rhode Island
1 : 0 Indy Eleven
12 Sept
New Mexico
2 : 2 Indy Eleven
30 Aug
Phoenix Rising
2 : 1 Indy Eleven
15 Aug
Sporting Jax
0 : 1 Indy Eleven
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League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tampa Bay | 27 | 15 | 7 | 5 | 46:25 | 52 |
| 2 | Detroit City | 27 | 13 | 8 | 6 | 33:20 | 47 |
| 3 | Charleston | 26 | 14 | 4 | 8 | 52:31 | 46 |
| 4 | Hartford Athletic | 26 | 9 | 12 | 5 | 29:26 | 39 |
| 5 | Rhode Island | 26 | 11 | 5 | 10 | 39:29 | 38 |
| 6 | Pittsburgh Riverhounds | 27 | 11 | 5 | 11 | 28:27 | 38 |
| 7 | Louisville City | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 43:42 | 37 |
| 8 | Miami FC | 28 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 38:45 | 36 |
| 9 | Indy Eleven | 27 | 9 | 7 | 11 | 33:33 | 34 |
| 10 | Loudoun United | 26 | 4 | 12 | 10 | 32:44 | 24 |
| 11 | Birmingham Legion | 26 | 4 | 11 | 11 | 36:43 | 23 |
| 12 | Brooklyn FC | 27 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 27:55 | 18 |
| 13 | Sporting Jax | 27 | 3 | 5 | 19 | 32:73 | 14 |
Promotion - USL Championship (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | El Paso Locomotive | 27 | 14 | 5 | 8 | 46:35 | 47 |
| 2 | New Mexico | 27 | 13 | 7 | 7 | 41:32 | 46 |
| 3 | Sacramento Republic | 27 | 11 | 11 | 5 | 37:25 | 44 |
| 4 | Lexington | 27 | 13 | 4 | 10 | 49:33 | 43 |
| 5 | FC Tulsa | 27 | 11 | 9 | 7 | 32:25 | 42 |
| 6 | Colorado Springs | 27 | 11 | 7 | 9 | 40:37 | 40 |
| 7 | Orange County SC | 27 | 10 | 9 | 8 | 36:42 | 39 |
| 8 | San Antonio FC | 27 | 9 | 11 | 7 | 29:29 | 38 |
| 9 | Las Vegas Lights | 27 | 10 | 6 | 11 | 35:38 | 36 |
| 10 | Oakland Roots | 27 | 8 | 10 | 9 | 33:35 | 34 |
| 11 | Phoenix Rising | 27 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 36:40 | 33 |
| 12 | Monterey Bay | 27 | 5 | 6 | 16 | 29:47 | 21 |
Promotion - USL Championship (Play Offs)
