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Loudoun United vs Pittsburgh Riverhounds

USA USA

USL Championship Segra Field
Our Tip

Match Events

16'
Ahl C.
17'
Adnan N.
19'
Sub
Santos P. In: Piras L.
Out: Santos P.

AI Match Summary

Loudoun United play Pittsburgh Riverhounds in the USL Championship. It looks like a close match. Recently, Loudoun United averaged 1 goals scored and 2 conceded. Pittsburgh Riverhounds averaged 1 goals scored and 0.63 conceded. In past meetings, Loudoun United won 1, Pittsburgh Riverhounds won 3, and they drew 1. Their last match on Jul 11, 2026 ended 2:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.81 for Loudoun United and 1.50 for Pittsburgh Riverhounds. This points to a Pittsburgh Riverhounds double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

9%
Loudoun United
11%
Draws
80%
Pittsburgh Riverhounds
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Pittsburgh Riverhounds

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Pittsburgh Riverhounds has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Loudoun United.
  • Model forecasts a 80% win probability edge for Pittsburgh Riverhounds.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in USL Championship provide steady trend data.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22%
Loudoun United Clean Sheet 16%
Pittsburgh Riverhounds Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Loudoun United Pittsburgh Riverhounds
Matches Played 32 32
Wins 7 18
Draws 9 4
Losses 16 10
Goals Scored 1 1
Goals Conceded 2 0.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.00 0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 11, 2026 USL Cup
Pittsburgh Riverhounds vs Loudoun United
2:0
Mar 14, 2026 USL Championship
Loudoun United vs Pittsburgh Riverhounds
2:3
Feb 13, 2026 Club Friendly
Pittsburgh Riverhounds vs Loudoun United
2:1
Jul 13, 2025 USL Championship
Pittsburgh Riverhounds vs Loudoun United
2:2
Apr 19, 2025 USL Championship
Loudoun United vs Pittsburgh Riverhounds
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Loudoun United Compare

Top Goalscorer Ulfarsson T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Young S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Pittsburgh Riverhounds Compare

Top Goalscorer Sample B.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Bassett S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Loudoun United 11 / 100
Pittsburgh Riverhounds 86 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Loudoun United Pittsburgh Riverhounds

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick PIT Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Loudoun United scored in 72% of their last 32 games.

Pittsburgh Riverhounds let in goals in 56% of their last 32 matches.

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

Loudoun United went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Pittsburgh Riverhounds lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Loudoun United VS Pittsburgh Riverhounds
1 Goals Scored 1
2 Goals Conceded 0.63
75% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 13%
50% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Tampa Bay1594224:1231
2Charleston1582530:2126
3Detroit City1473421:1424
4Louisville City1573525:2224
5Indy Eleven1263318:1221
6Pittsburgh Riverhounds1362515:1520
7Hartford Athletic1447312:1319
8Miami FC1546518:2418
9Rhode Island1344523:1816
10Birmingham Legion1528516:1914
11Brooklyn FC1433815:2412
12Loudoun United1418517:2811
13Sporting Jax15041119:414
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Orange County SC1677225:1828
2San Antonio FC1567220:1725
3New Mexico1363415:1421
4Oakland Roots1556424:2221
5Colorado Springs1454524:2219
6Sacramento Republic1354415:1319
7El Paso Locomotive1454525:2419
8FC Tulsa1354417:1619
9Lexington1353521:1618
10Phoenix Rising1545620:2217
11Las Vegas Lights1443721:2515
12Monterey Bay1543814:2215