Sport Picks
Loudoun United vs Sporting Jax Prediction & H2H Stats
USA
USL Championship Segra Field, Leesburg, VA 
Match Events
22'
22'
Akinyode B.
24'
24'
Awuah K.
45'
45'
Sadlier K.
Assist: Jaaskelainen E.
AI Match Summary
The USL Championship game between Loudoun United and Sporting Jax finished 2-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
49%
15%
36%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Loudoun United
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
49%
/ Medium Confidence
- Loudoun United carry the better recent record into this one.
- Loudoun United are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Loudoun United Clean Sheet 18%
Sporting Jax Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Loudoun United | Sporting Jax |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 28 |
| Wins | 5 | 4 |
| Draws | 11 | 4 |
| Losses | 13 | 20 |
| Goals Scored | 1.17 | 1.07 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.69 | 2.54 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.94 | 1.31 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 25, 2026 USL Championship
Sporting Jax vs Loudoun United
1:4
Jul 3, 2026 USL Championship
Loudoun United vs Sporting Jax
2:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Loudoun United Compare
Top Goalscorer Ordonez A.
1 Goals Assists Leader Aboukoura A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.49
Avg xA / game 0.97
Sporting Jax Compare
Top Goalscorer Sadlier K.
1 Goals Assists Leader Jaaskelainen E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Loudoun United 85 / 100
Sporting Jax 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Loudoun United Sporting Jax
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Loudoun United Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Sporting Jax has conceded goals in 96% of their last 28 outings.
Games between these two average 4.50 goals.
Loudoun United found the back of the net in 72% of recent matches (29 games).
Sporting Jax's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.
Scoring Trends
Loudoun United VS Sporting Jax
1 Goals Scored 1
1.63 Goals Conceded 2.88
50% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
Loudoun United
(Home) 03 Oct
Loudoun United
1 : 1 Indy Eleven
25 Sept
Sporting Jax
1 : 4 Loudoun United
19 Sept
Louisville City
2 : 1 Loudoun United
12 Sept
Pittsburgh Riverhounds
1 : 0 Loudoun United
04 Sept
Loudoun United
4 : 5 Colorado Springs
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
Loudoun United
1 : 1 Indy Eleven
04 Sept
Loudoun United
4 : 5 Colorado Springs
22 Aug
Loudoun United
0 : 0 New Mexico
08 Aug
Loudoun United
0 : 1 Charleston
01 Aug
Loudoun United
2 : 0 Hartford Athletic
Page 1 of 3
Sporting Jax
(Away) 30 Sept
Miami FC
4 : 1 Sporting Jax
25 Sept
Sporting Jax
1 : 4 Loudoun United
16 Sept
Hartford Athletic
2 : 0 Sporting Jax
12 Sept
Sporting Jax
0 : 3 Rhode Island
05 Sept
Sporting Jax
3 : 2 Lexington
Page 1 of 6
30 Sept
Miami FC
4 : 1 Sporting Jax
16 Sept
Hartford Athletic
2 : 0 Sporting Jax
29 Aug
Brooklyn FC
4 : 1 Sporting Jax
23 Aug
Birmingham Legion
2 : 3 Sporting Jax
02 Aug
Sacramento Republic
5 : 0 Sporting Jax
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tampa Bay | 27 | 15 | 7 | 5 | 46:25 | 52 |
| 2 | Detroit City | 27 | 13 | 8 | 6 | 33:20 | 47 |
| 3 | Charleston | 26 | 14 | 4 | 8 | 52:31 | 46 |
| 4 | Hartford Athletic | 26 | 9 | 12 | 5 | 29:26 | 39 |
| 5 | Rhode Island | 26 | 11 | 5 | 10 | 39:29 | 38 |
| 6 | Pittsburgh Riverhounds | 27 | 11 | 5 | 11 | 28:27 | 38 |
| 7 | Louisville City | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 43:42 | 37 |
| 8 | Miami FC | 28 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 38:45 | 36 |
| 9 | Indy Eleven | 27 | 9 | 7 | 11 | 33:33 | 34 |
| 10 | Loudoun United | 26 | 4 | 12 | 10 | 32:44 | 24 |
| 11 | Birmingham Legion | 26 | 4 | 11 | 11 | 36:43 | 23 |
| 12 | Brooklyn FC | 27 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 27:55 | 18 |
| 13 | Sporting Jax | 27 | 3 | 5 | 19 | 32:73 | 14 |
Promotion - USL Championship (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | El Paso Locomotive | 27 | 14 | 5 | 8 | 46:35 | 47 |
| 2 | New Mexico | 27 | 13 | 7 | 7 | 41:32 | 46 |
| 3 | Sacramento Republic | 27 | 11 | 11 | 5 | 37:25 | 44 |
| 4 | Lexington | 27 | 13 | 4 | 10 | 49:33 | 43 |
| 5 | FC Tulsa | 27 | 11 | 9 | 7 | 32:25 | 42 |
| 6 | Colorado Springs | 27 | 11 | 7 | 9 | 40:37 | 40 |
| 7 | Orange County SC | 27 | 10 | 9 | 8 | 36:42 | 39 |
| 8 | San Antonio FC | 27 | 9 | 11 | 7 | 29:29 | 38 |
| 9 | Las Vegas Lights | 27 | 10 | 6 | 11 | 35:38 | 36 |
| 10 | Oakland Roots | 27 | 8 | 10 | 9 | 33:35 | 34 |
| 11 | Phoenix Rising | 27 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 36:40 | 33 |
| 12 | Monterey Bay | 27 | 5 | 6 | 16 | 29:47 | 21 |
Promotion - USL Championship (Play Offs)
