Sport Picks

England

Women’s FA Cup 2012/2013

Derby W

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Loughborough Foxes W play Derby W in the Women’s FA Cup 2012/2013. It looks like a close match. Recently, Loughborough Foxes W averaged 1.88 goals scored and 2.18 conceded. Derby W averaged 1.8 goals scored and 1.56 conceded. In past meetings, Loughborough Foxes W won 0, Derby W won 3, and they drew 0. Their last match on Apr 4, 2021 ended 0:6. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.29 for Loughborough Foxes W and 1.36 for Derby W. This points to a Derby W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%

Loughborough Foxes W

15%

Draws

48%

Derby W

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Derby W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

74% / Medium Confidence

Loughborough Foxes W picked up more points recently compared to Derby W.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.29 vs 1.36 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 66%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 89%

Over 2.5 Goals 66%

Over 3.5 Goals 40%

Over 4.5 Goals 20%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 48%

Loughborough Foxes W Clean Sheet 18%

Derby W Clean Sheet 11%

First Half Goal 80%

Second Half Goal 85%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Loughborough Foxes W	Derby W
Matches Played	17	41
Wins	8	19
Draws	0	5
Losses	9	17
Goals Scored	1.88	1.8
Goals Conceded	2.18	1.56

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 4, 2021 Women’s FA Cup

Loughborough Foxes W vs Derby W

Possession: 45% - 54% Cards: 4 - 4

0:6

Jan 6, 2013 Women’s FA Cup

Loughborough Foxes W vs Derby W

Possession: 41% - 54% Cards: 0 - 1

0:2

Jan 8, 2012 Women’s FA Cup

Derby W vs Loughborough Foxes W

Possession: 41% - 45% Cards: 3 - 2

3:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Loughborough Foxes W 37 / 100

Derby W 45 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Loughborough Foxes W Derby W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Derby W or Draw (X2)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +27.6%

3.45

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +10.2%

1.67

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Loughborough Foxes W attacking → ← attacking Derby W

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Loughborough Foxes W scored in 76% of their last 17 games.

Derby W let in goals in 71% of their last 41 matches.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Loughborough Foxes W went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Derby W lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

24 Points in last 5 62

0.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.63

0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.38