Sport Picks
Loughborough Lightning W vs Derby W
England
Women's National League North 
Match Events
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AI Match Summary
Loughborough Lightning W host Derby W in the Women's National League North. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. Loughborough Lightning W have averaged 0.63 scored and 2.5 conceded recently, against Derby W's 0.75 scored and 2.88 conceded. Head-to-head, Loughborough Lightning W have won 1 to Derby W's 4, with 0 draws. They last met on Jan 18, 2026, ending 0:1. xG projections (1.75 - 1.63) back Derby W to edge this. Derby W in a double chance market carries the safer edge.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Derby W has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Loughborough Lightning W.
- Model forecasts a 80% win probability edge for Loughborough Lightning W.
- League standings and seasonal metrics in Women's National League North provide steady trend data.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Loughborough Lightning W | Derby W |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 32 | 38 |
| Wins | 7 | 13 |
| Draws | 7 | 5 |
| Losses | 18 | 20 |
| Goals Scored | 0.63 | 0.75 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.5 | 2.88 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.63 | 0.75 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 2.50 | 2.88 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sokapicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Sokapicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Loughborough Lightning W scored in 69% of their last 32 games.
Derby W let in goals in 76% of their last 38 matches.
Games between these two average 3.40 goals.
Loughborough Lightning W went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Derby W lost 2 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Burnley W | 22 | 20 | 2 | 0 | 63:5 | 62 |
| 2 | Wolverhampton W | 22 | 20 | 1 | 1 | 70:10 | 61 |
| 3 | Rugby Borough W | 22 | 12 | 5 | 5 | 43:27 | 41 |
| 4 | Stoke City LFC W | 22 | 10 | 3 | 9 | 36:31 | 33 |
| 5 | Middlesbrough W | 22 | 8 | 7 | 7 | 29:30 | 31 |
| 6 | West Brom W | 22 | 9 | 4 | 9 | 29:31 | 31 |
| 7 | Liverpool Feds W | 22 | 7 | 5 | 10 | 44:45 | 26 |
| 8 | Derby W | 22 | 6 | 4 | 12 | 18:39 | 22 |
| 9 | Hull City W | 22 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 23:54 | 20 |
| 10 | Loughborough Lightning W | 22 | 4 | 7 | 11 | 21:43 | 19 |
| 11 | Halifax W | 22 | 4 | 4 | 14 | 15:38 | 16 |
| 12 | Sporting Khalsa W | 22 | 3 | 1 | 18 | 18:56 | 10 |