Sport Picks
Loughborough Lightning W vs Derby W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
England
Women's National League North 
AI Match Summary
Loughborough Lightning W host Derby W in the Women's National League North. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. Loughborough Lightning W have averaged 1.03 scored and 2.07 conceded recently, against Derby W's 1.37 scored and 1.77 conceded. Past meetings favor Derby W slightly — 1-4-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jan 18, 2026, ending 0:1. xG projections (1.56 - 1.88) back Derby W to edge this. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Derby W carry the better recent record into this one.
- Model gives Derby W a 59% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors Derby W here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Loughborough Lightning W | Derby W |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 30 |
| Wins | 5 | 11 |
| Draws | 7 | 5 |
| Losses | 17 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 1.03 | 1.37 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.07 | 1.77 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.56 | 1.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
H2H data points to 3.40 goals as a typical output.
Loughborough Lightning W's goal record stands at 62% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
Derby W has conceded goals in 77% of their last 30 outings.
Loughborough Lightning W went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Loughborough Lightning W
(Home)Derby W
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rugby Borough W | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 20:2 | 21 |
| 2 | West Brom W | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 15:7 | 18 |
| 3 | Huddersfield W | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 21:12 | 17 |
| 4 | Stoke City LFC W | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 16:8 | 14 |
| 5 | Liverpool Feds W | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 16:14 | 12 |
| 6 | Derby W | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 11:14 | 12 |
| 7 | Peterborough W | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 11:18 | 12 |
| 8 | Norwich W | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 10:10 | 10 |
| 9 | Loughborough Lightning W | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 11:19 | 7 |
| 10 | Boldmere St Michaels W | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 11:21 | 6 |
| 11 | Middlesbrough W | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 3:10 | 4 |
| 12 | Hull City W | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 7:17 | 4 |
