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Loughborough Lightning W vs Rugby Borough W

England England

Women's National League North
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AI Match Summary

Loughborough Lightning W host Rugby Borough W in the Women's National League North. Form suggests where the edge lies here. Rugby Borough W have shipped 1.25 goals a game lately, while Loughborough Lightning W have conceded 2.5 and scored 0.63. Head-to-head, Loughborough Lightning W have won 0 to Rugby Borough W's 2, with 0 draws. They last met on Jan 25, 2026, ending 2:0. The numbers (0.94 xG vs 1.94) point toward Rugby Borough W. Rugby Borough W in a double chance market carries the safer edge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Loughborough Lightning W
6%
Draws
4%
Rugby Borough W
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Loughborough Lightning W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Rugby Borough W has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Loughborough Lightning W.
  • Model forecasts a 90% win probability edge for Loughborough Lightning W.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Women's National League North provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Loughborough Lightning W Clean Sheet 10%
Rugby Borough W Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Loughborough Lightning W Rugby Borough W
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 7 16
Draws 7 7
Losses 16 7
Goals Scored 0.63 1.38
Goals Conceded 2.5 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.50 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 25, 2026 Women's National League North
Rugby Borough W vs Loughborough Lightning W
2:0
Sep 14, 2025 Women's National League North
Loughborough Lightning W vs Rugby Borough W
0:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Loughborough Lightning W 83 / 100
Rugby Borough W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Loughborough Lightning W Rugby Borough W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LOU Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Loughborough Lightning W scored in 67% of their last 30 games.

Rugby Borough W let in goals in 67% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Loughborough Lightning W went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Rugby Borough W lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Loughborough Lightning W VS Rugby Borough W
0.63 Goals Scored 1.38
2.5 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Burnley W22202063:562
2Wolverhampton W22201170:1061
3Rugby Borough W22125543:2741
4Stoke City LFC W22103936:3133
5Middlesbrough W2287729:3031
6West Brom W2294929:3131
7Liverpool Feds W22751044:4526
8Derby W22641218:3922
9Hull City W22551223:5420
10Loughborough Lightning W22471121:4319
11Halifax W22441415:3816
12Sporting Khalsa W22311818:5610