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Loughgall vs Newington FC - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Northern Ireland Northern Ireland

NIFL Championship Lakeview Park, Loughgall
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AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this NIFL Championship matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Loughgall
20%
Draws
40%
Newington FC
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Newington FC lately — more wins on the board than Loughgall.
  • Loughgall are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this NIFL Championship fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Loughgall Clean Sheet 10%
Newington FC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Loughgall Newington FC
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 11 17
Draws 8 3
Losses 11 10
Goals Scored 1.3 2
Goals Conceded 1.4 1.57
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 11, 2026 NIFL Championship
Loughgall vs Newington FC
2:2
Apr 24, 2026 NIFL Championship
Newington FC vs Loughgall
2:1
Feb 24, 2026 NIFL Championship
Loughgall vs Newington FC
2:1
Oct 25, 2025 NIFL Championship
Loughgall vs Newington FC
2:2
Aug 16, 2025 NIFL Championship
Newington FC vs Loughgall
2:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Loughgall 38 / 100
Newington FC 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Loughgall Newington FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Loughgall Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.80 goals per match.

Loughgall found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (30 games).

Newington FC has conceded goals in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Difficult form: Newington FC registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Loughgall VS Newington FC
1.13 Goals Scored 2.25
2 Goals Conceded 1.88
63% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Loughgall

(Home)
10 Oct
Loughgall
1 : 2
Moyola
03 Oct
Loughgall
2 : 1
Newry City
25 Sept
Glenavon
4 : 1
Loughgall
19 Sept
Loughgall
0 : 0
Armagh
12 Sept
Queens University
1 : 0
Loughgall
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Newington FC

(Away)
09 Oct
Newington FC
0 : 2
Ards
03 Oct
Institute
7 : 0
Newington FC
26 Sept
Newington FC
4 : 0
Ballinamallard
19 Sept
Glenavon
1 : 0
Newington FC
12 Sept
Newington FC
5 : 5
Dundela
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Annagh 11 6 4 1 25:14 22
2 Glenavon 11 6 3 2 26:14 21
3 Newington FC 11 6 2 3 24:20 20
4 Queens University 11 6 1 4 20:8 19
5 Newry City 11 5 3 3 19:19 18
6 Warrenpoint 11 5 2 4 19:15 17
7 Institute 11 5 2 4 20:17 17
8 Ballinamallard 11 5 2 4 17:16 17
9 Harland & Wolff 11 5 1 5 18:16 16
10 Ards 11 4 3 4 14:13 15
11 Moyola 11 4 2 5 12:21 14
12 Loughgall 11 3 4 4 15:21 13
13 Dundela 11 2 5 4 19:23 11
14 Strabane Athletic 11 2 3 6 10:20 9
15 Rathfriland Rangers 11 3 0 8 11:23 9
16 Armagh 11 0 5 6 9:18 5
Promotion - NIFL Championship (Promotion Group)
Relegation - NIFL Championship (Relegation Group)