Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Loughgall vs Rosemount Rec

Northern Ireland Northern Ireland

Irish Cup 2023/2024 Lakeview Park, Loughgall
Our Tip

Match Events

22' Event
Gibson J.
42' Event
Magee B.
48' Event
Ferris N.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 3-0, with Loughgall advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Loughgall
20%
Draws
60%
Rosemount Rec
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Rosemount Rec

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

60% / High Confidence
  • Loughgall carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Rosemount Rec a 60% chance of winning this.
  • Loughgall have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Loughgall, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Loughgall Clean Sheet 20%
Rosemount Rec Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Loughgall Rosemount Rec
Matches Played 30 9
Wins 12 5
Draws 8 0
Losses 10 4
Goals Scored 1.37 1.67
Goals Conceded 1.33 2.11
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 6, 2024 Irish Cup
Loughgall vs Rosemount Rec
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Loughgall Compare

Top Goalscorer Gibson J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Magee B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.99
Avg xA / game 0.65

Rosemount Rec Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Loughgall 28 / 100
Rosemount Rec 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Loughgall Rosemount Rec

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Rosemount Rec Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Rosemount Rec conceded in 100% of 9 recent games.

Loughgall found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (30 games).

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Difficult form: Rosemount Rec registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Loughgall VS -
1.38 Goals Scored 0
1.13 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Loughgall

(Home)
25 Sept
Glenavon
4 : 1
Loughgall
19 Sept
Loughgall
0 : 0
Armagh
12 Sept
Queens University
1 : 0
Loughgall
05 Sept
Loughgall
1 : 6
Ballinamallard
28 Aug
Loughgall
3 : 3
Warrenpoint
Page 1 of 6

Rosemount Rec

(Away)
06 Jan
Loughgall
3 : 0
Rosemount Rec
25 Nov
Rosemount Rec
3 : 1
Ballymoney
17 Aug
Rosemount Rec
2 : 3
Dunmurry Rec
05 Jan
Glenavon
5 : 0
Rosemount Rec
01 Dec
Rosemount Rec
3 : 1
Islandmagee
Page 1 of 2

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Valley Rangers 0
Oxford Sunnyside 3
Ballymacash 3
Drumaness 1
Glentoran -
TBD -
TBD -
Annagh -
Ballyclare -
TBD -
Fivemiletown 0
Strabane Athletic 5
Dungannon -
TBD -
Willowbank 3
Tobermore 2
Crumlin Star 2
Limavady 0
TBD -
Institute -
Crusaders -
TBD -
TBD -
Ards -
Linfield -
TBD -
Warrenpoint 6
Lisburn Rangers 1
Queens University 3
Derriaghy 2
TBD -
Ballymena -
Carrick Rangers -
TBD -
TBD -
Portadown -
Bangor FC -
TBD -
TBD -
Dergview -
Coleraine -
TBD -
TBD -
Cliftonville -
Loughgall -
TBD -
Rosemount Rec 3
Ballymoney 1
Harland & Wolff -
TBD -
TBD -
Larne -
Knockbreda -
TBD -
TBD -
Glenavon -
Newington FC -
TBD -
TBD -
Dundela -
Newry City -
TBD -
TBD -
Ballinamallard -
1/16-finals
Oxford Sunnyside 2
Ballymacash 3
Glentoran 1
Annagh 0
Ballyclare 5
Strabane Athletic 2
Dungannon 5
Willowbank 0
Crumlin Star 0
Institute 2
Crusaders 1
Ards 2
Linfield 4
Warrenpoint 2
Queens University 0
Ballymena 4
Carrick Rangers 1
Portadown 2
Bangor FC 3
Dergview 1
Coleraine 0
Cliftonville 3
Loughgall 3
Rosemount Rec 0
Harland & Wolff 1
Larne 4
Knockbreda 0
Glenavon 4
Newington FC 2
Dundela 1
Newry City 3
Ballinamallard 2
1/8-finals
Ballymacash 1
Glentoran 6
Ballyclare 3
Dungannon 2
Institute 1
Ards 0
Linfield 2
Ballymena 0
Portadown 2
Bangor FC 1
Cliftonville 4
Loughgall 0
Larne 5
Glenavon 0
Newington FC 2
Newry City 1
Quarter-finals
Glentoran 2
Ballyclare 0
Institute 1
Linfield 3
Portadown 0
Cliftonville 2
Larne 4
Newington FC 1
Semi-finals
Glentoran 1
Linfield 3
Cliftonville 2
Larne 0
Final
Linfield 1
Cliftonville 3