Sport Picks

World

Club Friendly

One Knoxville

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Louisville City play One Knoxville in the Club Friendly. It looks like a close match. Recently, Louisville City averaged 1.93 goals scored and 1.24 conceded. One Knoxville averaged 1.78 goals scored and 1.04 conceded. In past meetings, Louisville City won 2, One Knoxville won 0, and they drew 1. Their last match on Feb 27, 2026 ended 2:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.38 for Louisville City and 1.75 for One Knoxville. This points to a One Knoxville double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%

Louisville City

19%

Draws

42%

One Knoxville

Draw rate projection: 19% Favored: One Knoxville

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence

Louisville City picked up more points recently compared to One Knoxville.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.38 vs 1.75 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 58%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 78%

Over 2.5 Goals 58%

Over 3.5 Goals 35%

Over 4.5 Goals 17%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 54%

Louisville City Clean Sheet 12%

One Knoxville Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 70%

Second Half Goal 74%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Louisville City	One Knoxville
Matches Played	29	27
Wins	16	19
Draws	4	3
Losses	9	5
Goals Scored	1.93	1.78
Goals Conceded	1.24	1.04
Expected Goals (xG)	1.75	2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.50	1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 27, 2026 Club Friendly

Louisville City vs One Knoxville

Possession: 42% - 44% Cards: 0 - 2

2:0

Mar 1, 2025 Club Friendly

Louisville City vs One Knoxville

Possession: 47% - 42% Cards: 4 - 1

1:0

Feb 25, 2023 Club Friendly

Louisville City vs One Knoxville

Possession: 48% - 45% Cards: 2 - 2

2:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Louisville City 38 / 100

One Knoxville 40 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Louisville City One Knoxville

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: One Knoxville or Draw (X2)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +26%

3.23

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +11.4%

1.92

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Louisville City attacking → ← attacking One Knoxville

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Louisville City scored in 83% of their last 29 games.

One Knoxville let in goals in 67% of their last 27 matches.

Games between these two average 2.33 goals.

Louisville City went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

One Knoxville lost 0 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

52 Points in last 5 60

1.75 Goals expected (xG) 2.00

1.50 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.00