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Louletano vs Atletico CP - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Portugal Portugal

Liga 3 Estadio Algarve, Faro/Loulé
Sun, Oct 25, 2026
VS
03:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Louletano host Atletico CP in the Liga 3. Form suggests where the edge lies here. Atletico CP have shipped 0.93 goals a game lately, while Louletano have conceded 0.86 and scored 1.54. Head-to-head, Louletano have won 1 to Atletico CP's 1, with 1 draws. They last met on Feb 27, 2011, ending 1:0. xG projections (1.06 - 1.25) back Louletano to edge this. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Louletano
15%
Draws
42%
Atletico CP
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Louletano

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Louletano come out ahead of Atletico CP on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Atletico CP's way, sitting at 50%.
  • Regular Liga 3 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Louletano Clean Sheet 19%
Atletico CP Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Louletano Atletico CP
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 16 14
Draws 6 4
Losses 6 11
Goals Scored 1.54 1.34
Goals Conceded 0.86 0.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 27, 2011 Second Division - Zona Sul
Atletico CP vs Louletano
1:0
Oct 31, 2010 Second Division - Zona Sul
Louletano vs Atletico CP
2:2
Oct 26, 2005 Taça de Portugal
Louletano vs Atletico CP
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Louletano 24 / 100
Atletico CP 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Louletano Atletico CP

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Atletico CP Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Louletano found the back of the net in 86% of recent matches (28 games).

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Louletano has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Atletico CP has conceded goals in 55% of their last 29 outings.

Scoring Trends

Louletano VS Atletico CP
1.25 Goals Scored 1.5
1 Goals Conceded 0.88
50% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Louletano

(Home)
20 Sept
Serpa
1 : 2
Louletano
12 Sept
Louletano
1 : 2
Santarem
06 Sept
Louletano
1 : 0
Lusitano GC
30 Aug
Castrense
0 : 1
Louletano
23 Aug
Caldas SC
2 : 4
Louletano
Page 1 of 6

Atletico CP

(Away)
19 Sept
Atletico CP
4 : 1
Lagoa
13 Sept
CF Os Belenenses
1 : 0
Atletico CP
06 Sept
Atletico CP
3 : 1
Oliveirense
29 Aug
Montijo
0 : 4
Atletico CP
22 Aug
Covilha
0 : 3
Atletico CP
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Paredes 5 4 0 1 8:4 12
2 Leca 6 3 1 2 9:8 10
3 AD Marco 09 6 3 1 2 6:5 10
4 Varzim 5 3 0 2 8:5 9
5 AD Fafe 5 2 2 1 8:4 8
6 SC Vianense 5 2 2 1 6:5 8
7 Vitoria Guimaraes B 5 1 2 2 4:5 5
8 Trofense 5 1 1 3 2:7 4
9 Sao Joao de Ver 5 0 3 2 3:6 3
10 Pacos Ferreira 5 0 2 3 5:10 2
Promotion - Liga 3 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Liga 3 (Relegation Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 CF Os Belenenses 5 5 0 0 13:2 15
2 Atletico CP 5 3 1 1 8:3 10
3 Oliveirense 5 2 2 1 7:7 8
4 Mafra 5 2 1 2 9:5 7
5 Louletano 5 2 1 2 7:7 7
6 Caldas SC 5 2 1 2 5:5 7
7 Santarem 6 2 1 3 6:10 7
8 Covilha 5 1 2 2 4:6 5
9 Lusitano GC 6 1 2 3 4:8 5
10 Vitoria Sernache 5 0 1 4 3:13 1
Promotion - Liga 3 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Liga 3 (Relegation Group)