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Louletano vs CF Os Belenenses - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Portugal Portugal

Liga 3 Estadio Algarve, Faro/Loulé
Our Tip

Match Events

22' Event
Lemes S.
39'
Sub
Bandarra M. In: Monteiro D.
Out: Bandarra M.
46'
Sub
Oliveira J. In: Lucas J.
Out: Oliveira J.

AI Match Summary

CF Os Belenenses in this Liga 3 matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored CF Os Belenenses.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
Louletano
15%
Draws
47%
CF Os Belenenses
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: CF Os Belenenses

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • CF Os Belenenses average 1.66 goals a game right now, well clear of Louletano's 1.54.
  • Win probability leans CF Os Belenenses's way, sitting at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.8%
Louletano Clean Sheet 17%
CF Os Belenenses Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Louletano CF Os Belenenses
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 16 16
Draws 6 7
Losses 6 6
Goals Scored 1.54 1.66
Goals Conceded 0.86 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 15, 2026 Liga 3
Louletano vs CF Os Belenenses
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Louletano Compare

Top Goalscorer Lemes S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

CF Os Belenenses Compare

Top Goalscorer Barros E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Horta Leitao D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Louletano 12 / 100
CF Os Belenenses 86 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Louletano CF Os Belenenses

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CF Os Belenenses Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Louletano scored in 86% of their last 28 games.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

CF Os Belenenses has conceded goals in 62% of their last 29 outings.

Louletano went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Louletano VS CF Os Belenenses
1.25 Goals Scored 1.75
1 Goals Conceded 1.25
50% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Louletano

(Home)
20 Sept
Serpa
1 : 2
Louletano
12 Sept
Louletano
1 : 2
Santarem
06 Sept
Louletano
1 : 0
Lusitano GC
30 Aug
Castrense
0 : 1
Louletano
23 Aug
Caldas SC
2 : 4
Louletano
Page 1 of 6

CF Os Belenenses

(Away)
19 Sept
Beira Mar
0 : 2
CF Os Belenenses
13 Sept
CF Os Belenenses
1 : 0
Atletico CP
06 Sept
Vitoria Sernache
1 : 3
CF Os Belenenses
30 Aug
Lusitano GC
1 : 2
CF Os Belenenses
22 Aug
CF Os Belenenses
5 : 0
Santarem
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Paredes 6 4 1 1 11:7 13
2 Leca 6 3 1 2 9:8 10
3 AD Marco 09 6 3 1 2 6:5 10
4 SC Vianense 6 2 3 1 9:8 9
5 Varzim 5 3 0 2 8:5 9
6 AD Fafe 5 2 2 1 8:4 8
7 Vitoria Guimaraes B 5 1 2 2 4:5 5
8 Trofense 5 1 1 3 2:7 4
9 Sao Joao de Ver 5 0 3 2 3:6 3
10 Pacos Ferreira 5 0 2 3 5:10 2
Promotion - Liga 3 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Liga 3 (Relegation Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 CF Os Belenenses 5 5 0 0 13:2 15
2 Atletico CP 5 3 1 1 8:3 10
3 Oliveirense 6 2 3 1 7:7 9
4 Mafra 5 2 1 2 9:5 7
5 Caldas SC 5 2 1 2 5:5 7
6 Louletano 6 2 1 3 7:8 7
7 Santarem 6 2 1 3 6:10 7
8 Covilha 6 1 3 2 4:6 6
9 Lusitano GC 6 1 2 3 4:8 5
10 Vitoria Sernache 6 1 1 4 4:13 4
Promotion - Liga 3 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Liga 3 (Relegation Group)