Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Louletano vs Estrela Vendas Novas

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group D 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

24' Event
Souza E.
(Penalty)
36' Event
Bandeira J.
82' Event
Souza E.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

Louletano in this Campeonato de Portugal - Group D 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Louletano.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Louletano
6%
Draws
4%
Estrela Vendas Novas
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Louletano

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Louletano lately — more wins on the board than Estrela Vendas Novas.
  • Model gives Louletano a 90% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%
Louletano Clean Sheet 68%
Estrela Vendas Novas Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Louletano Estrela Vendas Novas
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 16 2
Draws 10 2
Losses 6 26
Goals Scored 1.38 0
Goals Conceded 0.38 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 12, 2025 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
Louletano vs Estrela Vendas Novas
3:0
Aug 18, 2024 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
Estrela Vendas Novas vs Louletano
0:1
Mar 11, 2018 Campeonato de Portugal - Group E
Louletano vs Estrela Vendas Novas
3:3
Nov 5, 2017 Campeonato de Portugal - Group E
Estrela Vendas Novas vs Louletano
1:1
Feb 26, 2012 Second Division - Zona Sul
Estrela Vendas Novas vs Louletano
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Louletano Compare

Top Goalscorer Bandeira J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Estrela Vendas Novas Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Louletano 95 / 100
Estrela Vendas Novas 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Louletano Estrela Vendas Novas

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LOU Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Estrela Vendas Novas conceded in 90% of 30 recent games.

Estrela Vendas Novas's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

Louletano found the back of the net in 75% of recent matches (32 games).

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Louletano VS -
1.38 Goals Scored 0
0.38 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Louletano

(Home)
31 May
Vitoria Sernache
1 : 1
Louletano
23 May
Louletano
2 : 1
Oliveira Hospital
17 May
Louletano
1 : 1
Malveira
10 May
Louletano
1 : 2
Vitoria Sernache
03 May
Oliveira Hospital
1 : 1
Louletano
Page 1 of 7

Estrela Vendas Novas

(Away)
13 Apr
Estrela Vendas Novas
0 : 2
Industria
06 Apr
Moncarapachense
6 : 1
Estrela Vendas Novas
29 Mar
Estrela Vendas Novas
2 : 3
FC Barreirense
16 Mar
Estrela Vendas Novas
1 : 4
Fabril do Barreiro
09 Mar
Operario
2 : 1
Estrela Vendas Novas
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Lusitano GC26184457:1458
2Amora26176341:1957
3Sintrense26164639:2652
4Moncarapachense26156539:1951
5Louletano26155644:2050
6Serpa26136742:2745
7Estrela da Amadora B26791035:3130
8Lagoa26791026:3530
9Industria26851335:4229
10Fabril do Barreiro26691121:3227
11Moura AC26751427:5026
12Operario26651522:4323
13FC Barreirense26571431:4722
14Estrela Vendas Novas26122312:665
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2024/2025 (Promotion Group)