Sport Picks

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Louletano vs Imortal

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group D 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

31' Event
Pina D.
53' Event
Rangel

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Campeonato de Portugal - Group D 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Louletano
20%
Draws
33%
Imortal
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Louletano

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Louletano have won more games recently than Imortal.
  • Win probability leans Louletano's way, sitting at 36%.
  • Regular Campeonato de Portugal - Group D 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Louletano Clean Sheet 18%
Imortal Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Louletano Imortal
Matches Played 42 29
Wins 23 4
Draws 13 7
Losses 6 18
Goals Scored 1.5 0.86
Goals Conceded 0.74 1.62
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 11, 2024 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
Louletano vs Imortal
1:1
Oct 8, 2023 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
Imortal vs Louletano
1:2
Sep 10, 2023 Taça de Portugal
Louletano vs Imortal
1:0
May 1, 2022 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Imortal vs Louletano
2:1
Apr 3, 2022 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Louletano vs Imortal
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Louletano Compare

Top Goalscorer Rangel
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Imortal Compare

Top Goalscorer Pina D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Louletano 36 / 100
Imortal 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Louletano Imortal

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Louletano found the back of the net in 81% of recent matches (42 games).

Defensive concern: Imortal conceded in 86% of 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Louletano has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Louletano VS Imortal
1.63 Goals Scored 1.5
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.5
75% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Louletano

(Home)
06 Sept
Louletano
1 : 0
Lusitano GC
30 Aug
Castrense
0 : 1
Louletano
23 Aug
Caldas SC
2 : 4
Louletano
15 Aug
Louletano
1 : 3
CF Os Belenenses
08 Aug
Oliveirense
0 : 0
Louletano
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Imortal

(Away)
06 Sept
Imortal
0 : 2
Sintrense
23 Aug
Imortal
1 : 0
Lagoa
16 Aug
Imortal
5 : 0
1º Dezembro
06 Apr
Sintrense
1 : 1
Imortal
24 Mar
Imortal
1 : 2
Vasco da Gama Vidigueira
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vitoria Setubal 26 16 5 5 45:21 53
2 Moncarapachense 26 14 7 5 29:17 49
3 Lusitano GC 26 11 13 2 28:9 46
4 Louletano 26 11 8 7 37:26 41
5 Sintrense 26 10 10 6 29:26 40
6 O Elvas CAD 26 10 9 7 34:27 39
7 FC Barreirense 26 11 6 9 31:25 39
8 Fabril do Barreiro 26 8 10 8 29:24 34
9 Serpa 26 10 4 12 27:30 34
10 Juv. Evora 26 8 8 10 26:25 32
11 Vasco da Gama Vidigueira 26 8 6 12 26:45 30
12 Oriental 26 7 8 11 31:48 29
13 Real SC 26 3 5 18 24:46 14
14 Imortal 26 2 7 17 19:46 13
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Promotion Group 2023/2024 (Main)