Sport Picks
Louletano vs Lusitano GC - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Portugal
Liga 3 Estadio Algarve, Faro/Loulé 
Match Events
59'
59'
Sub
Lopes D. In: Silva D.
Out: Lopes D.
59'
59'
Sub
Batalha R. In: Andrade Male S. A.
Out: Batalha R.
67'
67'
Sub
Teixeira G. In: Sousa T.
Out: Teixeira G.
AI Match Summary
Louletano in this Liga 3 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Louletano.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
56%
20%
24%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Louletano
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
56%
/ Medium Confidence
- Lusitano GC haven't matched Louletano's recent run of results.
- 56% — that's where the model lands on Louletano taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Louletano Clean Sheet 68%
Lusitano GC Clean Sheet 11%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Louletano | Lusitano GC |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 33 | 30 |
| Wins | 18 | 11 |
| Draws | 8 | 8 |
| Losses | 7 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.48 | 1.03 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.82 | 0.97 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.25 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 6, 2026 Liga 3
Louletano vs Lusitano GC
1:0
Mar 29, 2025 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
Lusitano GC vs Louletano
1:0
Dec 8, 2024 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
Louletano vs Lusitano GC
2:3
Feb 18, 2024 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
Lusitano GC vs Louletano
1:1
Oct 28, 2023 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
Louletano vs Lusitano GC
0:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Louletano Compare
Top Goalscorer Martelo N.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63
Lusitano GC Compare
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Louletano 68 / 100
Lusitano GC 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Louletano Lusitano GC
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Louletano Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Louletano's goal record stands at 82% scoring rate across 33 recent games.
Lusitano GC's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 30 matches.
Games between these two average 2.00 goals.
Louletano went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Louletano VS Lusitano GC
1.38 Goals Scored 0.75
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Louletano
(Home) 20 Sept
Serpa
1 : 2 Louletano
12 Sept
Louletano
1 : 2 Santarem
06 Sept
Louletano
1 : 0 Lusitano GC
30 Aug
Castrense
0 : 1 Louletano
23 Aug
Caldas SC
2 : 4 Louletano
Page 1 of 7
12 Sept
Louletano
1 : 2 Santarem
06 Sept
Louletano
1 : 0 Lusitano GC
15 Aug
Louletano
1 : 3 CF Os Belenenses
23 May
Louletano
2 : 1 Oliveira Hospital
17 May
Louletano
1 : 1 Malveira
Page 1 of 4
Lusitano GC
(Away) 12 Sept
Lusitano GC
2 : 2 Covilha
06 Sept
Louletano
1 : 0 Lusitano GC
30 Aug
Lusitano GC
1 : 2 CF Os Belenenses
22 Aug
Lusitano GC
2 : 1 Mafra
16 Aug
Caldas SC
0 : 0 Lusitano GC
Page 1 of 6
06 Sept
Louletano
1 : 0 Lusitano GC
16 Aug
Caldas SC
0 : 0 Lusitano GC
29 Jul
Estrela da Amadora
1 : 0 Lusitano GC
15 Jul
Benfica B
1 : 1 Lusitano GC
25 Apr
Amora
1 : 2 Lusitano GC
Page 1 of 4
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Paredes | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 8:4 | 12 |
| 2 | AD Marco 09 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 6:3 | 10 |
| 3 | Varzim | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 8:5 | 9 |
| 4 | AD Fafe | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8:4 | 8 |
| 5 | SC Vianense | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 6:5 | 8 |
| 6 | Leca | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7:8 | 7 |
| 7 | Vitoria Guimaraes B | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4:5 | 5 |
| 8 | Trofense | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2:7 | 4 |
| 9 | Sao Joao de Ver | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3:6 | 3 |
| 10 | Pacos Ferreira | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5:10 | 2 |
Promotion - Liga 3 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Liga 3 (Relegation Group)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CF Os Belenenses | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 13:2 | 15 |
| 2 | Atletico CP | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8:3 | 10 |
| 3 | Oliveirense | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 7:7 | 8 |
| 4 | Mafra | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 9:5 | 7 |
| 5 | Louletano | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7:7 | 7 |
| 6 | Caldas SC | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5:5 | 7 |
| 7 | Lusitano GC | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4:5 | 5 |
| 8 | Covilha | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4:6 | 5 |
| 9 | Santarem | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3:10 | 4 |
| 10 | Vitoria Sernache | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3:13 | 1 |
Promotion - Liga 3 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Liga 3 (Relegation Group)
