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Louletano vs Malveira

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2025/2026
Louletano Logo

Louletano

1 - 1
FT
Malveira Logo

Malveira

Our Tip

Match Events

40' Event
Lemes S.
44' Event
Castillo D.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2025/2026 game between Louletano and Malveira finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Louletano
35%
Draws
22%
Malveira
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Louletano

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Louletano come out ahead of Malveira on wins alone.
  • 80% — that's where the model lands on Louletano taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
Louletano Clean Sheet 68%
Malveira Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Louletano Malveira
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 13 12
Draws 9 10
Losses 6 8
Goals Scored 2 0.88
Goals Conceded 1.13 1
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 17, 2026 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Louletano vs Malveira
1:1
Apr 26, 2026 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Malveira vs Louletano
1:2
Apr 18, 2026 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
Louletano vs Malveira
1:2
Dec 20, 2025 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
Malveira vs Louletano
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Louletano Compare

Top Goalscorer Lemes S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Malveira Compare

Top Goalscorer Castillo D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Louletano 86 / 100
Malveira 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Louletano Malveira

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LOU Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Louletano's goal record stands at 75% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Malveira's defensive record shows goals conceded in 73% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 2.75 goals as a typical output.

Louletano has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Louletano VS Malveira
2 Goals Scored 0.88
1.13 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Louletano

(Home)
31 May
Vitoria Sernache
1 : 1
Louletano
23 May
Louletano
2 : 1
Oliveira Hospital
17 May
Louletano
1 : 1
Malveira
10 May
Louletano
1 : 2
Vitoria Sernache
03 May
Oliveira Hospital
1 : 1
Louletano
Page 1 of 6

Malveira

(Away)
31 May
Oliveira Hospital
1 : 1
Malveira
23 May
Malveira
0 : 3
Vitoria Sernache
17 May
Louletano
1 : 1
Malveira
10 May
Malveira
0 : 2
Oliveira Hospital
03 May
Vitoria Sernache
0 : 0
Malveira
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Leca 6 4 1 1 12:8 13
2 SC Vianense 6 3 0 3 11:9 9
3 GD Braganca 6 2 2 2 5:5 8
4 Rebordosa 6 1 1 4 4:10 4
Promotion - Liga 3 (Main)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Leca 6 4 1 1 12:8 13
2 SC Vianense 6 3 0 3 11:9 9
3 GD Braganca 6 2 2 2 5:5 8
4 Rebordosa 6 1 1 4 4:10 4
Promotion - Liga 3 (Main)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Leca 6 4 1 1 12:8 13
2 SC Vianense 6 3 0 3 11:9 9
3 GD Braganca 6 2 2 2 5:5 8
4 Rebordosa 6 1 1 4 4:10 4
Promotion - Liga 3 (Main)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Leca 6 4 1 1 12:8 13
2 SC Vianense 6 3 0 3 11:9 9
3 GD Braganca 6 2 2 2 5:5 8
4 Rebordosa 6 1 1 4 4:10 4
Promotion - Liga 3 (Main)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Leca 6 4 1 1 12:8 13
2 SC Vianense 6 3 0 3 11:9 9
3 GD Braganca 6 2 2 2 5:5 8
4 Rebordosa 6 1 1 4 4:10 4
Promotion - Liga 3 (Main)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vitoria Sernache 6 3 3 0 8:3 12
2 Louletano 6 2 3 1 8:7 9
3 Oliveira Hospital 6 1 3 2 6:6 6
4 Malveira 6 0 3 3 3:9 3
Promotion - Liga 3 (Main)

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vitoria Sernache 6 3 3 0 8:3 12
2 Louletano 6 2 3 1 8:7 9
3 Oliveira Hospital 6 1 3 2 6:6 6
4 Malveira 6 0 3 3 3:9 3
Promotion - Liga 3 (Main)

League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vitoria Sernache 6 3 3 0 8:3 12
2 Louletano 6 2 3 1 8:7 9
3 Oliveira Hospital 6 1 3 2 6:6 6
4 Malveira 6 0 3 3 3:9 3
Promotion - Liga 3 (Main)

League Standings (Group 9)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vitoria Sernache 6 3 3 0 8:3 12
2 Louletano 6 2 3 1 8:7 9
3 Oliveira Hospital 6 1 3 2 6:6 6
4 Malveira 6 0 3 3 3:9 3
Promotion - Liga 3 (Main)

League Standings (Group 10)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vitoria Sernache 6 3 3 0 8:3 12
2 Louletano 6 2 3 1 8:7 9
3 Oliveira Hospital 6 1 3 2 6:6 6
4 Malveira 6 0 3 3 3:9 3
Promotion - Liga 3 (Main)