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Louny vs Junior Decin

Czech Republic Czech Republic

Ustecky KP
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Junior Decin in this Ustecky KP matchup, with the score ending 4-5 — backing the pre-match view that favored Junior Decin.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

53%
Louny
15%
Draws
32%
Junior Decin
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Louny

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Louny haven't matched Junior Decin's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Louny a 53% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Ustecky KP form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 92%).
  • Louny have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 92%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.4%
Louny Clean Sheet 10%
Junior Decin Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Louny Junior Decin
Matches Played 31 32
Wins 11 12
Draws 4 6
Losses 16 14
Goals Scored 1.87 2.13
Goals Conceded 2.32 2.53
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 13, 2026 Ustecky KP
Louny vs Junior Decin
4:5
Apr 12, 2025 Ustecky KP
Junior Decin vs Louny
2:3
Nov 23, 2024 Ustecky KP
Louny vs Junior Decin
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Louny 83 / 100
Junior Decin 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Louny Junior Decin

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Louny Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Louny's goal record stands at 81% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Defensive concern: Junior Decin conceded in 91% of 32 recent games.

H2H data points to 6.00 goals as a typical output.

Louny went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Louny VS Junior Decin
2 Goals Scored 2.25
2.25 Goals Conceded 2.25
88% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 100%
50% Over 3.5 88%

Recent Form & Match History

Louny

(Home)
13 Sept
Louny
4 : 5
Junior Decin
06 Sept
Louny
3 : 0
Probostov
29 Aug
Ledvice
1 : 6
Louny
21 Aug
Louny
0 : 0
Zatec
15 Aug
Litomericko
0 : 4
Louny
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Junior Decin

(Away)
13 Sept
Louny
4 : 5
Junior Decin
05 Sept
Junior Decin
3 : 4
Ledvice
29 Aug
Zatec
4 : 0
Junior Decin
22 Aug
Junior Decin
2 : 3
Litomericko
16 Aug
Tatran Kadan
1 : 3
Junior Decin
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