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Loutraki FC vs Ermis Meligous

Greece Greece

Gamma Ethniki - Group 4
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Loutraki FC in this Gamma Ethniki - Group 4 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Loutraki FC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Loutraki FC
22%
Draws
18%
Ermis Meligous
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Loutraki FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Loutraki FC have won more games recently than Ermis Meligous.
  • Win probability leans Loutraki FC's way, sitting at 60%.
  • Regular Gamma Ethniki - Group 4 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Loutraki FC here — 3 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63%
Loutraki FC Clean Sheet 20%
Ermis Meligous Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Loutraki FC Ermis Meligous
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 12 4
Draws 6 4
Losses 12 22
Goals Scored 1.13 0.5
Goals Conceded 0.88 2.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 0.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 2.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 28, 2026 Gamma Ethniki - Group 4
Loutraki FC vs Ermis Meligous
1:0
Dec 14, 2025 Gamma Ethniki - Group 4
Ermis Meligous vs Loutraki FC
0:1
Sep 28, 2025 Gamma Ethniki - Group 4
Loutraki FC vs Ermis Meligous
2:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Loutraki FC 58 / 100
Ermis Meligous 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Loutraki FC Ermis Meligous

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LOU Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ermis Meligous has conceded goals in 83% of their last 30 outings.

Loutraki FC scored in 60% of their last 30 games.

H2H data points to 1.67 goals as a typical output.

Loutraki FC went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Loutraki FC VS Ermis Meligous
1.13 Goals Scored 0.5
0.88 Goals Conceded 2.25
38% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 13%