Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Loznica vs FAP

Serbia Serbia

Mozzart Bet Prva Liga 2025/2026 Lagator Stadium, Loznica
Our Tip

Match Events

19'
Mitrovic S.
20'
Jelenic M.
24'
Lazarevic L.

AI Match Summary

The Mozzart Bet Prva Liga 2025/2026 game between Loznica and FAP finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Loznica.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Loznica
35%
Draws
34%
FAP
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Loznica come out ahead of FAP on wins alone.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Mozzart Bet Prva Liga 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Loznica Clean Sheet 68%
FAP Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Loznica FAP
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 14 7
Draws 10 8
Losses 5 14
Goals Scored 1 1.14
Goals Conceded 0.59 1.45
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 28, 2025 Mozzart Bet Prva Liga
Loznica vs FAP
2:0
Aug 24, 2025 Mozzart Bet Prva Liga
FAP vs Loznica
0:0
May 3, 2025 Srpska Liga - West
FAP vs Loznica
5:0
Oct 12, 2024 Srpska Liga - West
Loznica vs FAP
1:1
Apr 10, 2024 Srpska Liga - West
Loznica vs FAP
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Loznica Compare

Top Goalscorer Petrovic V.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Purtic S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

FAP Compare

Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Loznica 42 / 100
FAP 40 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Loznica FAP

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Loznica went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Loznica scored in 72% of their last 29 outings.

Defensive concern: FAP conceded in 79% of 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Loznica VS FAP
0.88 Goals Scored 1.5
0.13 Goals Conceded 1.5
38% Over 1.5 75%
13% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Loznica

(Home)
08 Aug
Dubocica
0 : 0
Loznica
31 Jul
Loznica
0 : 0
Proleter 023
11 Jul
Loznica
0 : 0
Macva Sabac
09 May
Loznica
2 : 0
Macva Sabac
03 May
Zemun
1 : 2
Loznica
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FAP

(Away)
29 May
FAP
3 : 1
Graficar Beograd
22 May
Usce
0 : 1
FAP
17 May
Trayal Krusevac
0 : 3
FAP
12 May
FAP
1 : 2
Kabel Novi Sad
07 May
Dubocica
1 : 1
FAP
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Zemun 30 18 9 3 48:26 63
2 Macva Sabac 30 16 9 5 41:25 57
3 FK Vozdovac 30 16 8 6 47:23 56
4 Loznica 30 13 9 8 30:25 48
5 Jedinstvo Ub 30 11 11 8 44:39 44
6 Vrsac 30 9 14 7 30:27 41
7 Graficar Beograd 30 10 10 10 30:29 40
8 Smederevo 30 11 7 12 34:28 40
9 Dinamo Jug 30 10 12 8 31:29 38
10 Tekstilac Odzaci 30 9 10 11 34:41 37
11 Borac 1926 30 9 9 12 30:33 36
12 Dubocica 30 7 10 13 29:44 31
13 Kabel Novi Sad 30 6 12 12 22:40 30
14 Trayal Krusevac 30 7 8 15 33:36 29
15 FAP 30 6 8 16 26:47 26
16 Usce 30 4 10 16 23:40 22
Promotion - Mozzart Bet Prva Liga 2025/2026 (Championship Group)
Relegation - Mozzart Bet Prva Liga 2025/2026 (Relegation Group)