Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Loznica vs Macva Sabac

Serbia Serbia

Mozzart Bet Prva Liga 2025/2026 Lagator Stadium, Loznica
Loznica Logo

Loznica

2 - 0
FT
Macva Sabac Logo

Macva Sabac

Our Tip

Match Events

29' Event
Jovanovic N.
Own Goal
31'
Sub
Ergelas M. In: Denic S.
Out: Ergelas M.
60'
Sub
Aderoju H. In: Mitrovic S.
Out: Aderoju H.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Mozzart Bet Prva Liga 2025/2026 game between Loznica and Macva Sabac finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Loznica.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Loznica
35%
Draws
25%
Macva Sabac
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Loznica

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Loznica come out ahead of Macva Sabac on wins alone.
  • Loznica are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.8%
Loznica Clean Sheet 20%
Macva Sabac Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Loznica Macva Sabac
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 14 10
Draws 11 7
Losses 4 12
Goals Scored 1.17 0.93
Goals Conceded 0.76 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 11, 2026 Club Friendly
Loznica vs Macva Sabac
0:0
May 9, 2026 Mozzart Bet Prva Liga
Loznica vs Macva Sabac
2:0
Mar 13, 2026 Mozzart Bet Prva Liga
Loznica vs Macva Sabac
0:0
Oct 5, 2025 Mozzart Bet Prva Liga
Macva Sabac vs Loznica
2:1
Apr 30, 2023 Mozzart Bet Prva Liga
Macva Sabac vs Loznica
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Loznica Compare

Top Goalscorer Starcevic D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Macva Sabac Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Loznica 40 / 100
Macva Sabac 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Loznica Macva Sabac

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Loznica Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Loznica scored in 69% of their last 29 games.

H2H data points to 1.60 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Loznica stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Macva Sabac has conceded goals in 59% of their last 29 outings.

Scoring Trends

Loznica VS Macva Sabac
1.13 Goals Scored 0.63
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 25%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Loznica

(Home)
21 Sept
Jedinstvo Ub
2 : 3
Loznica
17 Sept
Loznica
2 : 2
Javor
12 Sept
TSC Backa Topola
4 : 0
Loznica
06 Sept
Loznica
1 : 1
Teleoptik
29 Aug
Metalac
2 : 4
Loznica
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Macva Sabac

(Away)
20 Sept
Macva Sabac
1 : 2
Mladost Lucani
11 Sept
Zeleznicar Pancevo
2 : 0
Macva Sabac
05 Sept
Macva Sabac
0 : 0
Radnicki 1923
29 Aug
Novi Pazar
1 : 1
Macva Sabac
22 Aug
Macva Sabac
1 : 0
Radnicki Nis
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Zemun 35 20 10 5 55:33 70
2 Macva Sabac 35 19 9 7 47:29 66
3 FK Vozdovac 35 19 8 8 60:29 65
4 Loznica 35 17 10 8 37:26 61
5 Vrsac 35 10 16 9 35:36 46
6 Jedinstvo Ub 35 11 11 13 46:52 44
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