Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Loznica vs Provo

Serbia Serbia

Srpska Liga - West 2017/2018
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Srpska Liga - West 2017/2018 game between Loznica and Provo finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Loznica.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Loznica
35%
Draws
32%
Provo
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

32% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Loznica come out ahead of Provo on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • Regular Srpska Liga - West 2017/2018 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Loznica Clean Sheet 20%
Provo Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Loznica Provo
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 14 9
Draws 13 10
Losses 4 11
Goals Scored 1.19 1
Goals Conceded 0.81 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 0.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 9, 2019 Srpska Liga - West
Provo vs Loznica
1:1
Nov 24, 2018 Srpska Liga - West
Loznica vs Provo
2:2
May 26, 2018 Srpska Liga - West
Loznica vs Provo
2:1
Oct 29, 2017 Srpska Liga - West
Provo vs Loznica
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Loznica 36 / 100
Provo 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Loznica Provo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Provo Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.25 goals as a typical output.

Loznica's goal record stands at 71% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Defensive concern: Provo conceded in 67% of 30 recent games.

Solid form: Loznica remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Loznica VS -
1.13 Goals Scored 0
0.38 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
13% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Loznica

(Home)
21 Sept
Jedinstvo Ub
2 : 3
Loznica
17 Sept
Loznica
2 : 2
Javor
12 Sept
TSC Backa Topola
4 : 0
Loznica
06 Sept
Loznica
1 : 1
Teleoptik
29 Aug
Metalac
2 : 4
Loznica
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Provo

(Away)
09 Jun
Provo
1 : 1
Loznica
02 Jun
Sloga Pozega
2 : 0
Provo
26 May
Provo
4 : 1
FAP
18 May
Buducnost Krusik
0 : 0
Provo
12 May
Provo
1 : 0
Mokra Gora
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