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Loznica vs Smederevo - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Serbia Serbia

Mozzart Bet Prva Liga
Mon, Oct 12, 2026
VS
04:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Loznica host Smederevo in the Mozzart Bet Prva Liga. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Smederevo have shipped 1.14 goals a game lately, while Loznica have conceded 0.79 and scored 1.17. Head-to-head, Loznica have won 2 to Smederevo's 3, with 0 draws. They last met on Nov 14, 2025, ending 1:0. Model xG sits at 1.50 vs 1.69, favoring Loznica. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Loznica
15%
Draws
54%
Smederevo
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Smederevo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Smederevo come out ahead of Loznica on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Smederevo's way, sitting at 80%.
  • Regular Mozzart Bet Prva Liga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Loznica Clean Sheet 13%
Smederevo Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Loznica Smederevo
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 14 16
Draws 11 5
Losses 4 8
Goals Scored 1.17 1.72
Goals Conceded 0.79 1.14
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 14, 2025 Mozzart Bet Prva Liga
Loznica vs Smederevo
1:0
Aug 16, 2025 Mozzart Bet Prva Liga
Smederevo vs Loznica
2:0
May 18, 2019 Srpska Liga - West
Loznica vs Smederevo
1:2
Nov 3, 2018 Srpska Liga - West
Smederevo vs Loznica
3:0
Apr 21, 2018 Srpska Liga - West
Loznica vs Smederevo
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Loznica 11 / 100
Smederevo 74 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Loznica Smederevo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Smederevo Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Loznica scored in 66% of their last 29 games.

Defensive concern: Smederevo conceded in 72% of 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Loznica stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Loznica VS Smederevo
1.75 Goals Scored 1.75
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Loznica

(Home)
05 Oct
Napredak
3 : 0
Loznica
28 Sept
Loznica
2 : 0
Spartak Subotica
21 Sept
Jedinstvo Ub
2 : 3
Loznica
17 Sept
Loznica
2 : 2
Javor
12 Sept
TSC Backa Topola
4 : 0
Loznica
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Smederevo

(Away)
05 Oct
Smederevo
1 : 0
FK Vozdovac
26 Sept
Smederevo
1 : 0
Vrsac
21 Sept
Napredak
1 : 4
Smederevo
16 Sept
Smederevo
2 : 1
Spartak Subotica
12 Sept
Jedinstvo Ub
2 : 1
Smederevo
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Borac 1926 12 8 1 3 21:16 25
2 TSC Backa Topola 12 6 6 0 24:13 24
3 Smederevo 12 7 3 2 21:13 24
4 Javor 12 6 5 1 29:14 23
5 Vrsac 12 7 1 4 16:11 22
6 Metalac 12 5 3 4 16:12 18
7 Napredak 12 5 2 5 13:15 17
8 Dubocica 12 4 4 4 13:15 16
9 FK Vozdovac 12 4 3 5 11:11 15
10 Loznica 12 3 6 3 16:19 15
11 Spartak Subotica 12 4 3 5 18:23 15
12 Proleter 023 12 3 4 5 19:15 13
13 Graficar Beograd 12 3 1 8 16:23 10
14 Teleoptik 12 2 4 6 14:23 10
15 Jedinstvo Ub 12 2 2 8 11:21 8
16 OFK Bor 1919 12 2 2 8 7:21 8
Promotion - Mozzart Bet Prva Liga (Championship Group)
Relegation - Mozzart Bet Prva Liga (Relegation Group)