Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Loznica vs Vrsac

Serbia Serbia

Mozzart Bet Prva Liga 2025/2026 Lagator Stadium, Loznica
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Petrovic V.
31'
Sub
Popov A. In: Spasojevic M.
Out: Popov A.
64'
Motika N.

AI Match Summary

The Mozzart Bet Prva Liga 2025/2026 game between Loznica and Vrsac finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Loznica.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
Loznica
20%
Draws
42%
Vrsac
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Vrsac

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Loznica carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 42% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.4%
Loznica Clean Sheet 11%
Vrsac Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Loznica Vrsac
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 14 13
Draws 11 7
Losses 4 10
Goals Scored 1.17 1.07
Goals Conceded 0.76 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 22, 2026 Mozzart Bet Prva Liga
Vrsac vs Loznica
0:0
Dec 6, 2025 Mozzart Bet Prva Liga
Loznica vs Vrsac
2:0
Aug 31, 2025 Mozzart Bet Prva Liga
Vrsac vs Loznica
1:0
Apr 26, 2023 Mozzart Bet Prva Liga
Loznica vs Vrsac
2:1
Mar 18, 2023 Mozzart Bet Prva Liga
Vrsac vs Loznica
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Loznica Compare

Top Goalscorer Petrovic V.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Susnjar D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Vrsac Compare

Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Loznica 35 / 100
Vrsac 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Loznica Vrsac

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Vrsac Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Loznica scored in 69% of their last 29 games.

Vrsac let in goals in 67% of their last 30 matches.

Recent resilience: Loznica stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

These sides typically produce 1.40 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Loznica VS Vrsac
1.38 Goals Scored 1.88
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Loznica

(Home)
21 Sept
Jedinstvo Ub
2 : 3
Loznica
17 Sept
Loznica
2 : 2
Javor
12 Sept
TSC Backa Topola
4 : 0
Loznica
06 Sept
Loznica
1 : 1
Teleoptik
29 Aug
Metalac
2 : 4
Loznica
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Vrsac

(Away)
21 Sept
Vrsac
1 : 0
OFK Bor 1919
16 Sept
Napredak
1 : 2
Vrsac
12 Sept
Vrsac
4 : 1
Graficar Beograd
05 Sept
Spartak Subotica
2 : 0
Vrsac
30 Aug
Vrsac
1 : 2
Borac 1926
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Zemun 30 18 9 3 48:26 63
2 Macva Sabac 30 16 9 5 41:25 57
3 FK Vozdovac 30 16 8 6 47:23 56
4 Loznica 30 13 9 8 30:25 48
5 Jedinstvo Ub 30 11 11 8 44:39 44
6 Vrsac 30 9 14 7 30:27 41
7 Graficar Beograd 30 10 10 10 30:29 40
8 Smederevo 30 11 7 12 34:28 40
9 Dinamo Jug 30 10 12 8 31:29 38
10 Tekstilac Odzaci 30 9 10 11 34:41 37
11 Borac 1926 30 9 9 12 30:33 36
12 Dubocica 30 7 10 13 29:44 31
13 Kabel Novi Sad 30 6 12 12 22:40 30
14 Trayal Krusevac 30 7 8 15 33:36 29
15 FAP 30 6 8 16 26:47 26
16 Usce 30 4 10 16 23:40 22
Promotion - Mozzart Bet Prva Liga 2025/2026 (Championship Group)
Relegation - Mozzart Bet Prva Liga 2025/2026 (Relegation Group)