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LPRC Oiler vs Watanga

Liberia Liberia

LFA First Division
LPRC Oiler Logo

LPRC Oiler

1 - 0
FT
Watanga Logo

Watanga

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

LPRC Oiler in this LFA First Division matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored LPRC Oiler.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
LPRC Oiler
30%
Draws
37%
Watanga
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Watanga

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

33% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Watanga lately — more wins on the board than LPRC Oiler.
  • 33% — that's where the model lands on LPRC Oiler taking it.
  • Regular LFA First Division form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors LPRC Oiler here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
LPRC Oiler Clean Sheet 68%
Watanga Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric LPRC Oiler Watanga
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 15 17
Draws 8 10
Losses 7 3
Goals Scored 1.63 1.43
Goals Conceded 1.17 0.73
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 30, 2026 LFA First Division
LPRC Oiler vs Watanga
1:0
Dec 16, 2025 LFA First Division
Watanga vs LPRC Oiler
1:2
Feb 20, 2025 LFA First Division
LPRC Oiler vs Watanga
1:0
Oct 25, 2024 LFA First Division
Watanga vs LPRC Oiler
0:1
Feb 11, 2024 LFA First Division
LPRC Oiler vs Watanga
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

LPRC Oiler 59 / 100
Watanga 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
LPRC Oiler Watanga

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LPRC Oiler Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

LPRC Oiler found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (30 games).

H2H data points to 1.80 goals as a typical output.

LPRC Oiler went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Watanga let in goals in 57% of their last 30 matches.

Scoring Trends

LPRC Oiler VS Watanga
1.88 Goals Scored 1.63
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.63
75% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

LPRC Oiler

(Home)
19 May
Heaven Eleven
1 : 1
LPRC Oiler
13 May
Paynesville
0 : 3
LPRC Oiler
04 May
LPRC Oiler
3 : 1
Gardnersville
25 Apr
LPRC Oiler
0 : 2
Borough FC
14 Apr
Freeport
2 : 3
LPRC Oiler
Page 1 of 6

Watanga

(Away)
24 May
Heaven Eleven
3 : 3
Watanga
18 May
Watanga
3 : 1
Gardnersville
13 May
FC Fassell
0 : 0
Watanga
29 Apr
Discoveries
0 : 1
Watanga
12 Apr
Watanga
2 : 1
Borough FC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Watanga 26 16 8 2 40:20 56
2 BEA Mountain 26 15 7 4 56:22 52
3 FC Fassell 26 13 8 5 31:17 47
4 LPRC Oiler 26 11 8 7 36:29 41
5 Liberia Registry 26 12 5 9 31:33 41
6 Paynesville 26 10 8 8 41:42 38
7 Discoveries 26 9 8 9 31:23 35
8 Wologizi 26 9 7 10 38:40 34
9 Heaven Eleven 26 7 11 8 33:35 32
10 Borough FC 26 6 9 11 33:44 27
11 Downtown 26 7 6 13 32:44 27
12 Gardnersville 26 7 6 13 36:51 27
13 Black Man Warrior 26 4 8 14 16:28 20
14 Freeport 26 4 5 17 38:64 17
15 Jubilee 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)