Sport Picks

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Luanda Villa vs Kibera

Kenya Kenya

Super League
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Kibera in this Super League matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Kibera.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Luanda Villa
30%
Draws
23%
Kibera
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Luanda Villa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Kibera have won more games recently than Luanda Villa.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Luanda Villa taking it.
  • Regular Super League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26%
Luanda Villa Clean Sheet 68%
Kibera Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Luanda Villa Kibera
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 10 11
Draws 6 7
Losses 14 12
Goals Scored 0.87 0.83
Goals Conceded 1.43 0.9
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 19, 2026 Super League
Luanda Villa vs Kibera
0:1
Jan 11, 2026 Super League
Kibera vs Luanda Villa
2:1
Apr 5, 2025 Super League
Kibera vs Luanda Villa
0:0
Sep 21, 2024 Super League
Luanda Villa vs Kibera
1:0
Mar 2, 2024 Super League
Luanda Villa vs Kibera
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Luanda Villa 51 / 100
Kibera 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Luanda Villa Kibera

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kibera let in goals in 67% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Away concern: Kibera has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Luanda Villa's goal record stands at 57% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Luanda Villa VS Kibera
1.25 Goals Scored 0.88
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.75
63% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 13%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Luanda Villa

(Home)
13 Jun
Luanda Villa
0 : 1
Soy United
07 Jun
Vihiga United
1 : 1
Luanda Villa
01 Jun
Luanda Villa
1 : 0
Mombasa United
28 May
Kabati
5 : 0
Luanda Villa
23 May
Gucha Stars
2 : 1
Luanda Villa
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Kibera

(Away)
13 Jun
Nzoia Sugar
1 : 0
Kibera
07 Jun
Kibera
1 : 2
MCF
01 Jun
MOFA
1 : 1
Kibera
27 May
Kibera
1 : 1
Nairobi City Stars
23 May
Migori
1 : 0
Kibera
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Migori 38 25 6 7 57:29 81
2 3K FC 38 23 8 7 62:26 77
3 Mombasa United 38 24 4 10 51:32 76
4 Equity Bank 38 21 11 6 56:28 74
5 MOFA 38 16 16 6 51:30 64
6 Fortune Sacco 38 18 9 11 61:41 63
7 Naivas FC 38 17 10 11 47:30 61
8 Talanta FC 38 16 9 13 53:41 57
9 Kibera 38 15 8 15 32:33 53
10 Soy United 38 14 10 14 31:27 52
11 Nzoia Sugar 38 12 14 12 37:36 50
12 Gucha Stars 38 12 8 18 35:41 44
13 Luanda Villa 38 12 7 19 30:51 43
14 Kabati 38 10 9 19 32:52 39
15 Kisumu All-Stars 38 10 9 19 23:47 39
16 Nairobi City Stars 38 9 12 17 32:44 39
17 Darajani Gogo 38 10 8 20 27:48 38
18 MCF 38 9 10 19 24:42 34
19 Vihiga United 38 9 9 20 29:55 30
20 Mwatate United 38 6 7 25 27:64 25
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