Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Luanda Villa vs MCF

Kenya Kenya

Super League
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Super League game between Luanda Villa and MCF finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Luanda Villa.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Luanda Villa
20%
Draws
51%
MCF
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: MCF

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Luanda Villa come out ahead of MCF on wins alone.
  • 51% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 62.2%
Luanda Villa Clean Sheet 20%
MCF Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Luanda Villa MCF
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 10 7
Draws 6 8
Losses 14 15
Goals Scored 0.87 0.63
Goals Conceded 1.43 1.2
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 8, 2026 Super League
Luanda Villa vs MCF
1:0
Nov 23, 2025 Super League
MCF vs Luanda Villa
1:0
Mar 16, 2025 Super League
Luanda Villa vs MCF
0:0
Nov 20, 2024 Super League
MCF vs Luanda Villa
1:0
May 26, 2024 Super League
Luanda Villa vs MCF
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Luanda Villa 32 / 100
MCF 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Luanda Villa MCF

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MCF Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

MCF let in goals in 63% of their last 30 matches.

Luanda Villa's goal record stands at 57% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 1.00 goals.

Solid form: Luanda Villa remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Luanda Villa VS MCF
1.25 Goals Scored 0.63
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.63
63% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 13%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Luanda Villa

(Home)
13 Jun
Luanda Villa
0 : 1
Soy United
07 Jun
Vihiga United
1 : 1
Luanda Villa
01 Jun
Luanda Villa
1 : 0
Mombasa United
28 May
Kabati
5 : 0
Luanda Villa
23 May
Gucha Stars
2 : 1
Luanda Villa
Page 1 of 6

MCF

(Away)
13 Jun
MCF
0 : 3
Fortune Sacco
07 Jun
Kibera
1 : 2
MCF
01 Jun
MCF
2 : 0
Mwatate United
27 May
Migori
2 : 1
MCF
23 May
Nairobi City Stars
0 : 0
MCF
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Migori 38 25 6 7 57:29 81
2 3K FC 38 23 8 7 62:26 77
3 Mombasa United 38 24 4 10 51:32 76
4 Equity Bank 38 21 11 6 56:28 74
5 MOFA 38 16 16 6 51:30 64
6 Fortune Sacco 38 18 9 11 61:41 63
7 Naivas FC 38 17 10 11 47:30 61
8 Talanta FC 38 16 9 13 53:41 57
9 Kibera 38 15 8 15 32:33 53
10 Soy United 38 14 10 14 31:27 52
11 Nzoia Sugar 38 12 14 12 37:36 50
12 Gucha Stars 38 12 8 18 35:41 44
13 Luanda Villa 38 12 7 19 30:51 43
14 Kabati 38 10 9 19 32:52 39
15 Kisumu All-Stars 38 10 9 19 23:47 39
16 Nairobi City Stars 38 9 12 17 32:44 39
17 Darajani Gogo 38 10 8 20 27:48 38
18 MCF 38 9 10 19 24:42 34
19 Vihiga United 38 9 9 20 29:55 30
20 Mwatate United 38 6 7 25 27:64 25
Promotion - Premier League (Main)