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Luanda Villa vs Mombasa United

Kenya Kenya

Super League
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Luanda Villa in this Super League matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Luanda Villa.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
Luanda Villa
28%
Draws
50%
Mombasa United
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Mombasa United

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Luanda Villa haven't matched Mombasa United's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Mombasa United's way, sitting at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63.4%
Luanda Villa Clean Sheet 20%
Mombasa United Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Luanda Villa Mombasa United
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 10 19
Draws 6 3
Losses 14 8
Goals Scored 1.25 0.63
Goals Conceded 1.38 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 1, 2026 Super League
Luanda Villa vs Mombasa United
1:0
Oct 11, 2025 Super League
Mombasa United vs Luanda Villa
1:0
May 11, 2025 Super League
Mombasa United vs Luanda Villa
3:1
Dec 11, 2024 Super League
Luanda Villa vs Mombasa United
5:1
Apr 7, 2024 Super League
Mombasa United vs Luanda Villa
3:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Luanda Villa 24 / 100
Mombasa United 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Luanda Villa Mombasa United

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MOM Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.40 goals per match.

Luanda Villa's goal record stands at 57% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Mombasa United has conceded goals in 53% of their last 30 outings.

Luanda Villa went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Luanda Villa VS Mombasa United
1.25 Goals Scored 0.63
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.75
63% Over 1.5 38%
38% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Luanda Villa

(Home)
13 Jun
Luanda Villa
0 : 1
Soy United
07 Jun
Vihiga United
1 : 1
Luanda Villa
01 Jun
Luanda Villa
1 : 0
Mombasa United
28 May
Kabati
5 : 0
Luanda Villa
23 May
Gucha Stars
2 : 1
Luanda Villa
Page 1 of 6

Mombasa United

(Away)
13 Jun
Naivas FC
1 : 1
Mombasa United
07 Jun
Mombasa United
1 : 0
Nzoia Sugar
01 Jun
Luanda Villa
1 : 0
Mombasa United
27 May
Mombasa United
0 : 0
3K FC
24 May
Mwatate United
0 : 1
Mombasa United
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Migori38256757:2981
23K FC38238762:2677
3Mombasa United382441051:3276
4Equity Bank382111656:2874
5MOFA381616651:3064
6Fortune Sacco381891161:4163
7Naivas FC3817101147:3061
8Talanta FC381691353:4157
9Kibera381581532:3353
10Soy United3814101431:2752
11Nzoia Sugar3812141237:3650
12Gucha Stars381281835:4144
13Luanda Villa381271930:5143
14Kabati381091932:5239
15Kisumu All-Stars381091923:4739
16Nairobi City Stars389121732:4439
17Darajani Gogo381082027:4838
18MCF389101924:4234
19Vihiga United38992029:5530
20Mwatate United38672527:6425
Promotion - Premier League 2026/2027 (Main)