Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Luarca vs Gijon B

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 2 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

22' Event
Lozano E.
77' Event
Acerete C.
(Penalty)
83' Event
Boza D.

AI Match Summary

Gijon B in this Tercera RFEF - Group 2 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 0-5 — backing the pre-match view that favored Gijon B.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

7%
Luarca
20%
Draws
73%
Gijon B
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Gijon B

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / High Confidence
  • Gijon B have won more games recently than Luarca.
  • Model gives Gijon B a 73% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 2 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Gijon B here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Luarca Clean Sheet 12%
Gijon B Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Luarca Gijon B
Matches Played 30 42
Wins 6 27
Draws 6 9
Losses 18 6
Goals Scored 1.13 2.45
Goals Conceded 2.07 0.64
Expected Goals (xG) 0.97 1.74
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 14, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Luarca vs Gijon B
0:5
Nov 25, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Gijon B vs Luarca
5:0
Apr 23, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Luarca vs Gijon B
0:1
Jan 7, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Gijon B vs Luarca
4:0
Mar 20, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Luarca vs Gijon B
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Luarca Compare

Avg xG / game 0.75
Avg xA / game 0.48

Gijon B Compare

Top Goalscorer Lozano E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Boza D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.58
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Luarca 10 / 100
Gijon B 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Luarca Gijon B

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Gijon B Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Luarca's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Gijon B's defensive record shows goals conceded in 40% of 42 matches.

Recent resilience: Luarca stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Gijon B
0 Goals Scored 2.38
0 Goals Conceded 0.75
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Luarca

(Home)
12 May
Lealtad
4 : 0
Luarca
05 May
Luarca
2 : 3
Gijon Industrial
01 May
Lenense
3 : 0
Luarca
27 Apr
Luarca
1 : 2
Basico Urraca
21 Apr
Tuilla
1 : 1
Luarca
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Gijon B

(Away)
14 Aug
Gijon B
3 : 0
Leonesa B
11 Aug
CD Colunga
1 : 2
Gijon B
08 Aug
Gijon B
1 : 1
Palencia CF
01 Aug
Gijon B
1 : 0
Marino De Luanco
24 May
Gijon B
1 : 2
Caudal Deportivo
Page 1 of 9

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Llanera 34 28 3 3 105:25 87
2 Gijon B 34 21 8 5 61:15 71
3 Lealtad 34 19 8 7 53:25 65
4 Union Club Ceares 34 19 8 7 52:30 65
5 L Entregu CF 34 18 9 7 51:32 63
6 Praviano 34 13 16 5 34:26 55
7 Tuilla 34 13 13 8 56:43 52
8 Basico Urraca 34 11 11 12 33:35 44
9 Caudal Deportivo 34 9 16 9 35:35 43
10 CD Colunga 34 11 8 15 38:44 41
11 Lenense 34 10 8 16 32:45 38
12 Aviles Stadium 34 8 12 14 30:43 36
13 Real Titanico 34 9 9 16 43:63 36
14 Condal 34 10 6 18 28:49 36
15 Llanes 34 9 8 17 36:54 35
16 Gijon Industrial 34 7 9 18 36:67 30
17 Luarca 34 6 7 21 38:75 25
18 Barcia 34 2 7 25 26:81 13
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 2 2023/2024 (Play Offs)