Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Lubeck II vs Kilia Kiel

Germany Germany

Oberliga Schleswig-Holstein 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

61' Event
Waschko J.
70' Event
Grimm J.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Oberliga Schleswig-Holstein 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Lubeck II
6%
Draws
90%
Kilia Kiel
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Kilia Kiel

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Lubeck II haven't matched Kilia Kiel's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Kilia Kiel's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 52.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 24%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Lubeck II Clean Sheet 10%
Kilia Kiel Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lubeck II Kilia Kiel
Matches Played 32 32
Wins 11 19
Draws 6 6
Losses 15 7
Goals Scored 1 2.13
Goals Conceded 3 0.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 3.00 0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 22, 2025 Oberliga Schleswig-Holstein
Lubeck II vs Kilia Kiel
1:1
Sep 14, 2024 Oberliga Schleswig-Holstein
Kilia Kiel vs Lubeck II
4:2
Mar 11, 2023 Oberliga Schleswig-Holstein
Kilia Kiel vs Lubeck II
8:0
Aug 27, 2022 Oberliga Schleswig-Holstein
Lubeck II vs Kilia Kiel
1:6
Feb 28, 2009 Oberliga Schleswig-Holstein
Kilia Kiel vs Lubeck II
2:6

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lubeck II Compare

Top Goalscorer Grimm J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Kilia Kiel Compare

Top Goalscorer Waschko J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lubeck II 10 / 100
Kilia Kiel 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lubeck II Kilia Kiel

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick KIL Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 6.20 goals when they meet.

Lubeck II found the back of the net in 78% of recent matches (32 games).

Kilia Kiel has conceded goals in 72% of their last 32 outings.

Recent resilience: Lubeck II stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Lubeck II VS Kilia Kiel
1 Goals Scored 2.13
3 Goals Conceded 0.63
67% Over 1.5 75%
67% Over 2.5 38%
67% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Lubeck II

(Home)
18 Jul
Todesfelde
3 : 2
Lubeck II
12 Jul
Eimsbutteler
6 : 1
Lubeck II
17 May
TSB Flensburg
3 : 3
Lubeck II
10 May
Lubeck II
4 : 0
Eckernforder SV
03 May
Lubeck II
3 : 1
VfR Neumunster
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Kilia Kiel

(Away)
14 Jul
Kilia Kiel
1 : 1
Todesfelde
16 May
Kilia Kiel
2 : 1
Inter Turkspor Kiel
09 May
Oldenburger SV
1 : 6
Kilia Kiel
03 May
Kilia Kiel
3 : 1
Hohenwestedt
25 Apr
Kaltenkirchener
0 : 1
Kilia Kiel
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Kilia Kiel302280109:4374
2Heider SV30215490:4168
3PSV Neumunster30195683:3662
4Eichede30178564:2759
5Nordmark Satrup301181162:5241
6Preussen Reinfeld301181154:5641
7Hohenwestedt301171250:6440
8Oldenburger SV301081266:6838
9Eutin 08301071349:5437
10Rotenhof301051558:6835
11VfR Neumunster30981355:6735
12Lubeck II30961551:6833
13Eckernforder SV30881453:6832
14TSB Flensburg30871551:7031
15Eidertal Molfsee30761744:8527
16Dornbreite Lubeck30342332:10413
Promotion - Oberliga Hessen 2024/2025 (Promotion)