Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Lubeck vs Hamburger II

Germany Germany

Regionalliga North Stadion Lohmühle, Lubeck
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Migalic D.
12' Event
Beleme D.
58' Event
Migalic D.

AI Match Summary

The Regionalliga North game between Lubeck and Hamburger II finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Hamburger II.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Lubeck
30%
Draws
28%
Hamburger II
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Lubeck

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Lubeck carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Lubeck taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Lubeck Clean Sheet 14%
Hamburger II Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lubeck Hamburger II
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 10 7
Draws 9 6
Losses 10 16
Goals Scored 1.48 1.41
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 26, 2026 Regionalliga North
Lubeck vs Hamburger II
1:3
Mar 13, 2026 Regionalliga North
Lubeck vs Hamburger II
0:2
Nov 5, 2025 Regionalliga North
Hamburger II vs Lubeck
2:2
Apr 2, 2025 Regionalliga North
Hamburger II vs Lubeck
2:3
Aug 10, 2024 Regionalliga North
Lubeck vs Hamburger II
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lubeck Compare

Top Goalscorer Beleme D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

Hamburger II Compare

Top Goalscorer Migalic D.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Holscher Machado K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lubeck 84 / 100
Hamburger II 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lubeck Hamburger II

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lubeck Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Hamburger II has conceded goals in 90% of their last 29 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.20 goals per match.

Solid form: Lubeck remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Lubeck found the back of the net in 76% of recent matches (29 games).

Scoring Trends

Lubeck VS Hamburger II
1 Goals Scored 1.13
2.13 Goals Conceded 2.38
100% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Lubeck

(Home)
25 Sept
Lubeck
3 : 2
Todesfelde
19 Sept
Lubeck
2 : 1
Bremer
16 Sept
Hannover II
2 : 2
Lubeck
12 Sept
Lubeck
1 : 1
Hannoverscher SC
06 Sept
Eintracht Norderstedt
1 : 1
Lubeck
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Hamburger II

(Away)
26 Sept
Hamburger II
0 : 3
Delmenhorst
20 Sept
Hannoverscher SC
0 : 4
Hamburger II
16 Sept
Hamburger II
0 : 3
St. Pauli II
11 Sept
Weiche Flensburg 08
4 : 0
Hamburger II
05 Sept
Jeddeloh
1 : 3
Hamburger II
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Weiche Flensburg 08 11 8 1 2 33:12 25
2 Schoningen 11 7 3 1 19:15 24
3 Phonix Lubeck 10 7 2 1 28:6 23
4 Drochtersen / Assel 11 7 1 3 33:16 22
5 VfB Oldenburg 10 7 1 2 31:14 22
6 Hannover II 10 5 3 2 21:14 18
7 Emden 11 5 3 3 31:30 18
8 Delmenhorst 11 4 3 4 17:20 15
9 Eintracht Norderstedt 11 3 4 4 23:27 13
10 Eimsbutteler 11 4 1 6 21:33 13
11 Werder Bremen II 10 3 2 5 16:18 11
12 Lubeck 11 2 5 4 14:21 11
13 St. Pauli II 11 3 1 7 20:21 10
14 Jeddeloh 11 3 1 7 16:25 10
15 Hamburger II 11 3 1 7 15:25 10
16 Hannoverscher SC 11 2 4 5 15:26 10
17 Bremer 11 2 2 7 9:21 8
18 Todesfelde 11 2 2 7 19:37 8
Promotion - Regionalliga North (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Regionalliga North (Relegation)