Sport Picks

Poland

III Liga - Group IV 2022/2023

Podhale Nowy Targ

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Lublinianka play Podhale Nowy Targ in the III Liga - Group IV 2022/2023. Podhale Nowy Targ are favorites here. Recently, Lublinianka averaged 1.37 goals scored and 2.77 conceded. Podhale Nowy Targ averaged 1.89 goals scored and 1.25 conceded. In past meetings, Lublinianka won 0, Podhale Nowy Targ won 2, and they drew 0. Their last match on May 14, 2023 ended 0:9. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.23 for Lublinianka and 1.30 for Podhale Nowy Targ. This points to a Podhale Nowy Targ double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%

Lublinianka

18%

Draws

62%

Podhale Nowy Targ

Draw rate projection: 18% Favored: Podhale Nowy Targ

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

89% / Very High Confidence

Lublinianka picked up more points recently compared to Podhale Nowy Targ.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.23 vs 1.30 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 65%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 85%

Over 2.5 Goals 65%

Over 3.5 Goals 39%

Over 4.5 Goals 20%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 47%

Lublinianka Clean Sheet 19%

Podhale Nowy Targ Clean Sheet 12%

First Half Goal 77%

Second Half Goal 81%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Lublinianka	Podhale Nowy Targ
Matches Played	30	28
Wins	6	12
Draws	2	8
Losses	22	8
Goals Scored	1.37	1.89
Goals Conceded	2.77	1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 14, 2023 III Liga - Group IV

Lublinianka vs Podhale Nowy Targ

Possession: 49% - 49% Cards: 3 - 1

0:9

Oct 8, 2022 III Liga - Group IV

Podhale Nowy Targ vs Lublinianka

Possession: 51% - 46% Cards: 1 - 1

2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lublinianka Compare

Avg xG / game 0

Avg xA / game 0

Podhale Nowy Targ Compare

Top Goalscorer Antkowiak H.

4 Goals

Assists Leader Platek G.

2 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.36

Avg xA / game 0.83

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lublinianka 22 / 100

Podhale Nowy Targ 58 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Lublinianka Podhale Nowy Targ

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Podhale Nowy Targ Win (2)

Secondary Pick Podhale Nowy Targ & Over 2.5

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +66.6%

8.33

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +9.9%

1.69

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Lublinianka attacking → ← attacking Podhale Nowy Targ

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lublinianka scored in 60% of their last 30 games.

Podhale Nowy Targ let in goals in 71% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 5.50 goals.

Lublinianka went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Podhale Nowy Targ lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

20 Points in last 5 44

0.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.50

0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.25

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Stal Stalowa Wola	34	23	5	6	72:27	74
2	Avia Swidnik	34	19	11	4	58:26	68
3	KS Wieczysta Krakow	34	20	7	7	75:35	67
4	Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski	34	17	7	10	61:36	58
5	Biala Podlaska	34	14	13	7	63:42	55
6	Cracovia II	34	16	6	12	69:48	54
7	Wisloka Debica	34	15	7	12	54:46	52
8	Sokol Sieniawa	34	14	6	14	57:65	48
9	Czarni Polaniec	34	15	2	17	47:58	47
10	Podhale Nowy Targ	34	13	6	15	59:47	45
11	Orleta Radzyn	34	13	4	17	44:63	43
12	Chelmianka Chelm	34	10	10	14	45:47	40
13	Unia Tarnow	34	10	10	14	43:66	40
14	Wiazownica	34	11	7	16	49:59	40
15	Korona Kielce II	34	10	9	15	63:58	39
16	Sandomierz	34	7	6	21	40:91	27
17	Lublinianka	34	7	2	25	43:92	23
18	LKS Lagow	34	11	4	19	27:63	37