Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Lubumbashi Sport vs Malole

DR Congo DR Congo

Ligue 1
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Ligue 1 game between Lubumbashi Sport and Malole finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Lubumbashi Sport.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

54%
Lubumbashi Sport
15%
Draws
31%
Malole
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Lubumbashi Sport

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Lubumbashi Sport come out ahead of Malole on wins alone.
  • 54% — that's where the model lands on Lubumbashi Sport taking it.
  • Regular Ligue 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.8%
Lubumbashi Sport Clean Sheet 19%
Malole Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lubumbashi Sport Malole
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 11 9
Draws 10 6
Losses 9 15
Goals Scored 0.9 1.03
Goals Conceded 0.87 1.2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 26, 2026 Ligue 1
Lubumbashi Sport vs Malole
1:0
Dec 4, 2025 Ligue 1
Malole vs Lubumbashi Sport
0:0
Feb 27, 2025 Ligue 1
Lubumbashi Sport vs Malole
1:0
Nov 30, 2024 Ligue 1
Lubumbashi Sport vs Malole
0:0
Oct 26, 2024 Ligue 1
Malole vs Lubumbashi Sport
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lubumbashi Sport 67 / 100
Malole 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lubumbashi Sport Malole

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lubumbashi Sport Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Malole has conceded goals in 73% of their last 30 outings.

Recent resilience: Lubumbashi Sport stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Lubumbashi Sport's goal record stands at 57% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 1.20 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Lubumbashi Sport VS Malole
1.38 Goals Scored 1
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Lubumbashi Sport

(Home)
02 Apr
Lubumbashi Sport
3 : 2
Tanganyika
30 Mar
Lubumbashi Sport
2 : 1
US Panda
26 Mar
Lubumbashi Sport
3 : 1
Tshikas
22 Mar
New Soger
4 : 2
Lubumbashi Sport
07 Mar
Simba
1 : 2
Lubumbashi Sport
Page 1 of 6

Malole

(Away)
22 Apr
Malole
1 : 2
Sanga Balende
15 Apr
Malole
3 : 0
Blessing
02 Apr
Don Bosco
4 : 2
Malole
29 Mar
Malole
3 : 1
Tanganyika
25 Mar
Saint-Luc
1 : 1
Malole
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mazembe 30 23 4 3 57:12 73
2 St Eloi Lupopo 30 19 6 5 55:27 63
3 Don Bosco 30 16 8 6 43:24 56
4 Simba 30 14 8 8 33:27 50
5 Manika 30 12 12 6 31:20 48
6 Tanganyika 30 13 5 12 38:32 44
7 Lubumbashi Sport 30 11 10 9 27:26 43
8 Blessing 30 11 7 12 33:31 40
9 Sanga Balende 30 10 6 14 25:34 36
10 Saint-Luc 30 9 8 13 21:33 35
11 Malole 30 9 6 15 34:39 33
12 New Soger 30 9 6 15 29:40 33
13 Tshinkunku 30 7 10 13 23:41 31
14 Groupe Bazano 30 7 9 14 26:38 30
15 Tshikas 30 6 10 14 25:40 28
16 US Panda 30 5 1 24 17:59 16
Promotion - Ligue 1 (Championship Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 AS Maniema 27 13 13 1 38:10 52
2 AS Vita Club 27 13 11 3 35:13 50
3 Aigles du Congo 26 13 9 4 32:16 48
4 Dauphins Noirs 26 13 6 7 35:20 45
5 Celeste 26 12 8 6 36:13 44
6 Etoile de Kivu 26 10 6 10 34:35 36
7 Motema Pembe 26 7 14 5 33:25 35
8 Anges Verts 26 6 11 9 26:32 29
9 New Jack 26 6 11 9 20:26 29
10 AC Rangers 27 7 8 12 21:35 29
11 FC MK Etancheite 26 6 8 12 15:35 26
12 FC Renaissance 27 4 13 10 21:40 25
13 OC Renaissance 26 4 10 12 14:33 22
14 Bukavu Dawa 26 2 8 16 10:37 14
15 Martin Pecheur 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Ligue 1 (Championship Group)