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Lucan Utd vs Killester Donnycarney

Ireland Ireland

FAI Cup 2019
Our Tip

Match Events

30' Event
52' Event
90' Event
Brophy J.

AI Match Summary

Lucan Utd in this FAI Cup 2019 tie, finishing 2-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Lucan Utd
15%
Draws
34%
Killester Donnycarney
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Lucan Utd

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Killester Donnycarney have won more games recently than Lucan Utd.
  • Model gives Lucan Utd a 51% chance of winning this.
  • Killester Donnycarney arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Lucan Utd, who have won 2 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 79%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 79%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Lucan Utd Clean Sheet 12%
Killester Donnycarney Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lucan Utd Killester Donnycarney
Matches Played 18 25
Wins 9 10
Draws 0 3
Losses 9 12
Goals Scored 1.72 1.6
Goals Conceded 2.06 1.64
Expected Goals (xG) 2.31 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 30, 2022 FAI Cup
Lucan Utd vs Killester Donnycarney
3:0
Aug 11, 2019 FAI Cup
Lucan Utd vs Killester Donnycarney
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lucan Utd Compare

Avg xG / game 1.78
Avg xA / game 1.16

Killester Donnycarney Compare

Top Goalscorer Brophy J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lucan Utd 74 / 100
Killester Donnycarney 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lucan Utd Killester Donnycarney

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lucan Utd Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lucan Utd found the back of the net in 78% of recent matches (18 games).

Killester Donnycarney's defensive record shows goals conceded in 64% of 25 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Lucan Utd went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Lucan Utd VS Killester Donnycarney
2.13 Goals Scored 1.38
2.13 Goals Conceded 2.5
100% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Lucan Utd

(Home)
19 Sept
Lucan Utd
2 : 0
Cockhill
12 Sept
Bonagee
0 : 1
Lucan Utd
05 Sept
Lucan Utd
1 : 2
Mervue United
17 Jul
Drogheda
4 : 0
Lucan Utd
17 May
Lucan Utd
5 : 2
University College Cork
Page 1 of 4

Killester Donnycarney

(Away)
17 May
College Corinthians
2 : 1
Killester Donnycarney
18 Jul
Killester Donnycarney
0 : 7
Bohemians
17 May
Midleton
0 : 6
Killester Donnycarney
30 Jul
Lucan Utd
3 : 0
Killester Donnycarney
10 Oct
Killester Donnycarney
3 : 1
Firhouse
Page 1 of 5

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Shamrock Rovers -
TBD -
TBD -
Finn Harps -
Avondale United 4
Newtown Rangers 3
TBD -
Drogheda -
Cork City -
TBD -
TBD -
Cabinteely -
Collinstown 1
St Mochta's 0
TBD -
Galway United -
Crumlin Utd -
TBD -
University College Cork 0
Malahide United 2
Killester Donnycarney -
TBD -
Aisling Annacotty 1
Lucan Utd 3
Longford -
TBD -
TBD -
Athlone -
Shelbourne -
TBD -
TBD -
Bohemians -
Sligo Rovers -
TBD -
Midleton 1
Glebe North 2
Cobh Wanderers -
TBD -
TBD -
Limerick -
St. Patricks -
TBD -
TBD -
Bray -
Letterkenny Rovers -
TBD -
TBD -
UC Dublin -
Waterford -
TBD -
Rockmount 1
Maynooth University 5
St. Michaels 1
Sheriff YC 0
Home Farm 1
Glengad United 2
Derry City -
TBD -
TBD -
Wexford -
Cobh Ramblers -
TBD -
TBD -
Dundalk -
1/16-finals
Shamrock Rovers 1
Finn Harps 0
Avondale United 1
Drogheda 2
Cork City 3
Cabinteely 2
Collinstown 1
Galway United 2
Crumlin Utd 3
Malahide United 1
Killester Donnycarney 1
Lucan Utd 2
Longford 3
Athlone 1
Shelbourne 2
Bohemians 3
Sligo Rovers 8
Glebe North 0
Cobh Wanderers 0
Limerick 1
St. Patricks 2
Bray 1
Letterkenny Rovers 2
UC Dublin 5
Waterford 2
Maynooth University 0
St. Michaels 0
Glengad United 1
Derry City 1
Wexford 0
Cobh Ramblers 0
Dundalk 1
1/8-finals
Shamrock Rovers 4
Drogheda 0
Cork City 0
Galway United 1
Crumlin Utd 3
Lucan Utd 1
Longford 1
Bohemians 2
Sligo Rovers 6
Limerick 2
St. Patricks 1
UC Dublin 3
Waterford 2
Glengad United 0
Derry City 2
Dundalk 3
Quarter-finals
Shamrock Rovers 2
Galway United 1
Crumlin Utd 0
Bohemians 2
Sligo Rovers 4
UC Dublin 0
Waterford 1
Dundalk 3
Semi-finals
Shamrock Rovers 2
Bohemians 0
Sligo Rovers 0
Dundalk 1
Final
Shamrock Rovers 2
Dundalk 1