Sport Picks
Match Events
33'
33'
Rossini M.
34'
34'
Saporiti E.
42'
42'
Cortesi M.
(Penalty)
AI Match Summary
The Serie C - Group B 2024/2025 game between Lucchese and Carpi finished 2-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
58%
30%
12%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Lucchese
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
58%
/ Medium Confidence
- Lucchese carry the better recent record into this one.
- Model gives Lucchese a 58% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.2%
Lucchese Clean Sheet 68%
Carpi Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Lucchese | Carpi |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 27 | 30 |
| Wins | 11 | 8 |
| Draws | 8 | 8 |
| Losses | 8 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 1.59 | 1.1 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.63 | 1.53 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.44 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 1, 2025 Serie C - Group B
Lucchese vs Carpi
2:2
Oct 20, 2024 Serie C - Group B
Carpi vs Lucchese
0:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Lucchese Compare
Top Goalscorer Saporiti E.
1 Goals Assists Leader Magnaghi S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72
Carpi Compare
Top Goalscorer Cortesi M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Lucchese 95 / 100
Carpi 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Lucchese Carpi
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Lucchese Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Lucchese's goal record stands at 81% scoring rate across 27 recent games.
Carpi let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.
H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.
Solid form: Lucchese remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Lucchese VS Carpi
1.25 Goals Scored 1.75
1 Goals Conceded 1.63
50% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Lucchese
(Home) 27 Sept
Lucchese
3 : 2 Siena
20 Sept
Rondinella
0 : 0 Lucchese
16 Sept
Lucchese
5 : 0 SCD Progresso
12 Sept
Seravezza Pozzi
5 : 0 Lucchese
06 Sept
Lucchese
2 : 1 Montevarchi
Page 1 of 6
27 Sept
Lucchese
3 : 2 Siena
16 Sept
Lucchese
5 : 0 SCD Progresso
06 Sept
Lucchese
2 : 1 Montevarchi
17 May
Lucchese
1 : 0 Sestri Levante
27 Apr
Lucchese
3 : 2 Sassari Torres
Page 1 of 3
Carpi
(Away) 03 Oct
Pro Vercelli
2 : 0 Carpi
27 Sept
Carpi
0 : 3 Arzignano
20 Sept
Novara
2 : 2 Carpi
17 Sept
Carpi
2 : 2 Ospitaletto
13 Sept
Carpi
1 : 2 Cittadella
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
Pro Vercelli
2 : 0 Carpi
20 Sept
Novara
2 : 2 Carpi
06 Sept
AlbinoLeffe
0 : 1 Carpi
21 Aug
Union Brescia
3 : 1 Carpi
09 Aug
Mantova
0 : 1 Carpi
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Entella | 38 | 23 | 14 | 1 | 61:24 | 83 |
| 2 | Ternana | 38 | 22 | 10 | 6 | 64:23 | 74 |
| 3 | Sassari Torres | 38 | 19 | 11 | 8 | 55:36 | 68 |
| 4 | Pescara | 38 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 55:35 | 67 |
| 5 | Arezzo | 38 | 19 | 7 | 12 | 48:37 | 64 |
| 6 | Vis Pesaro | 38 | 15 | 13 | 10 | 44:34 | 58 |
| 7 | Pineto | 38 | 15 | 12 | 11 | 46:49 | 57 |
| 8 | Pianese | 38 | 15 | 8 | 15 | 48:48 | 53 |
| 9 | Rimini | 38 | 13 | 14 | 11 | 45:35 | 51 |
| 10 | US Pontedera | 38 | 13 | 9 | 16 | 54:54 | 48 |
| 11 | Gubbio | 38 | 13 | 9 | 16 | 32:42 | 48 |
| 12 | Perugia | 38 | 11 | 14 | 13 | 43:41 | 47 |
| 13 | Carpi | 38 | 11 | 11 | 16 | 41:48 | 44 |
| 14 | Campobasso | 38 | 11 | 10 | 17 | 36:46 | 43 |
| 15 | Ascoli | 38 | 9 | 13 | 16 | 37:46 | 40 |
| 16 | Lucchese | 38 | 10 | 15 | 13 | 47:64 | 39 |
| 17 | Spal | 38 | 9 | 11 | 18 | 41:61 | 35 |
| 18 | AC Milan U23 | 38 | 7 | 13 | 18 | 36:57 | 34 |
| 19 | Sestri Levante | 38 | 6 | 13 | 19 | 34:54 | 31 |
| 20 | Legnago Salus | 38 | 6 | 11 | 21 | 30:63 | 29 |
Promotion - Serie B 2025/2026 (Main)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2024/2025 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2024/2025 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2024/2025 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2024/2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie C - Group A 2024/2025 (Play Out)
