Sport Picks
Match Events
AI Match Summary
The Serie D - Group E game between Lucchese and Montevarchi finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Lucchese.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Lucchese carry the better recent record into this one.
- Win probability leans Lucchese's way, sitting at 60%.
- Regular Serie D - Group E form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Lucchese | Montevarchi |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 30 |
| Wins | 11 | 10 |
| Draws | 7 | 14 |
| Losses | 10 | 6 |
| Goals Scored | 1.54 | 0.83 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.64 | 0.6 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.89 | 0.92 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Lucchese Compare
Montevarchi Compare
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Lucchese found the back of the net in 82% of recent matches (28 games).
These sides typically produce 1.60 goals when they meet.
Lucchese has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Defensive concern: Montevarchi conceded in 47% of 30 recent games.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Lucchese
(Home)Montevarchi
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | San Donato Tavarnelle | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6:3 | 7 |
| 2 | Prato | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5:2 | 7 |
| 3 | Flaminia | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5:2 | 7 |
| 4 | Follonica Gavorrano | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4:1 | 7 |
| 5 | Lucchese | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7:6 | 6 |
| 6 | Tau | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6:7 | 6 |
| 7 | Seravezza Pozzi | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7:3 | 4 |
| 8 | Siena | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6:4 | 4 |
| 9 | Montevarchi | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6:4 | 4 |
| 10 | Scandicci | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5:3 | 4 |
| 11 | Terranuova Traiana | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5:4 | 4 |
| 12 | Sasso Marconi | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5:6 | 4 |
| 13 | Mezzolara | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:4 | 4 |
| 14 | SCD Progresso | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:8 | 3 |
| 15 | Ternana | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2:4 | 1 |
| 16 | Grassina | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1:4 | 1 |
| 17 | Rondinella | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1:6 | 1 |
| 18 | Ghiviborgo | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1:6 | 0 |
