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Lucciana vs Bastia

World World

Club Friendly 2024 Stade Charles Galletti, Lucciana
Our Tip

Match Events

17' Event
Traore C.
30' Event
Maggiotti J.
32' Event
Rodrigues C.

AI Match Summary

Bastia in this Club Friendly 2024 matchup, with the score ending 0-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Bastia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Lucciana
15%
Draws
57%
Bastia
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Bastia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Bastia have won more games recently than Lucciana.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65%
Lucciana Clean Sheet 20%
Bastia Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lucciana Bastia
Matches Played 5 28
Wins 1 8
Draws 0 10
Losses 4 10
Goals Scored 0.8 1.04
Goals Conceded 1.8 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 1.18
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 20, 2024 Club Friendly
Lucciana vs Bastia
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lucciana Compare

Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.61

Bastia Compare

Top Goalscorer Traore C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Maggiotti J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.07
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lucciana 36 / 100
Bastia 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lucciana Bastia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bastia Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bastia's defensive record shows goals conceded in 61% of 28 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Bastia lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Lucciana scored in 40% of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Bastia
0 Goals Scored 1.25
0 Goals Conceded 1.25
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Lucciana

(Home)
01 Dec
Feignies-Aulnoye
1 : 0
Lucciana
16 Nov
Lucciana
2 : 1
OCPAM
20 Jul
Lucciana
0 : 3
Bastia
29 Oct
Lucciana
0 : 1
JA Drancy
11 Nov
Arras
3 : 2
Lucciana

Bastia

(Away)
05 Sept
Bastia
0 : 3
Amiens SC
27 Aug
Caen
0 : 1
Bastia
20 Aug
Bastia
2 : 3
Versailles
14 Aug
Aubagne FC
0 : 1
Bastia
07 Aug
Bastia
0 : 2
Le Puy-en-Velay
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