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Luceafarul Balan vs Avantul Reghin

Romania Romania

Liga 3 - Seria 5 2015/2016
Sat, Apr 23, 2016
0 - 3
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Luceafarul Balan play Avantul Reghin in the Liga 3 - Seria 5 2015/2016. Avantul Reghin are favorites here. Recently, Luceafarul Balan averaged 0.58 goals scored and 2.92 conceded. Avantul Reghin averaged 1.13 goals scored and 1.88 conceded. In past meetings, Luceafarul Balan won 0, Avantul Reghin won 2, and they drew 0. Their last match on Apr 23, 2016 ended 0:3. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.10 for Luceafarul Balan and 1.05 for Avantul Reghin. This points to a Avantul Reghin double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
Luceafarul Balan
15%
Draws
69%
Avantul Reghin
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Avantul Reghin

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Luceafarul Balan picked up more points recently compared to Avantul Reghin.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.10 vs 1.05 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 75%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 87%
Over 2.5 Goals 75%
Over 3.5 Goals 45%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 42%
Luceafarul Balan Clean Sheet 22%
Avantul Reghin Clean Sheet 14%
First Half Goal 78%
Second Half Goal 83%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Luceafarul Balan Avantul Reghin
Matches Played 26 32
Wins 0 10
Draws 1 5
Losses 25 17
Goals Scored 0.58 1.13
Goals Conceded 2.92 1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 23, 2016 Liga 3 - Seria 5
Luceafarul Balan vs Avantul Reghin
0:3
Oct 17, 2015 Liga 3 - Seria 5
Avantul Reghin vs Luceafarul Balan
3:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Luceafarul Balan 19 / 100
Avantul Reghin 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Luceafarul Balan Avantul Reghin

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Avantul Reghin Win (2)
Secondary Pick Avantul Reghin & Over 2.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +100%
12.50
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +8.7%
1.45
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Luceafarul Balan attacking → ← attacking Avantul Reghin

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Luceafarul Balan scored in 42% of their last 26 games.

Avantul Reghin let in goals in 75% of their last 32 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Luceafarul Balan went unbeaten in 0 of their last 5 games.

Avantul Reghin lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

1 Points in last 5 35
0.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.00
0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Luceafarul Oradea26205163:1565
2Avantul Reghin26184455:2358
3Industria Galda26162850:3550
4Unirea Jucu26147546:2449
5Miercurea Ciuc26143938:2645
6Sanatatea Cluj26125951:4641
7Academica Recea261131243:4036
8CS Iernut2698937:3835
9Osorhei26941334:3931
10Unirea Dej26851332:3729
11Sighetu Marmatiei25821527:4926
12Odorheiu26741530:5525
13Zalau (inactive)26651524:4423
14Luceafarul Balan25012414:731