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Luceafarul Oradea vs CSM Satu Mare

Romania Romania

Liga 3 - Seria 10 2021/2022
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

CSM Satu Mare in this Liga 3 - Seria 10 2021/2022 matchup, with the score ending 1-10 — backing the pre-match view that favored CSM Satu Mare.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Luceafarul Oradea
35%
Draws
39%
CSM Satu Mare
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: CSM Satu Mare

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • CSM Satu Mare have won more games recently than Luceafarul Oradea.
  • Model gives CSM Satu Mare a 39% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Liga 3 - Seria 10 2021/2022 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • CSM Satu Mare have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Luceafarul Oradea Clean Sheet 16%
CSM Satu Mare Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Luceafarul Oradea CSM Satu Mare
Matches Played 30 46
Wins 1 21
Draws 3 9
Losses 26 16
Goals Scored 0.7 1.83
Goals Conceded 4.63 1.39
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 1.49
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 7, 2022 Liga 3 - Seria 10
CSM Satu Mare vs Luceafarul Oradea
6:1
Apr 9, 2022 Liga 3 - Seria 10
Luceafarul Oradea vs CSM Satu Mare
1:10
Mar 12, 2022 Liga 3 - Seria 10
CSM Satu Mare vs Luceafarul Oradea
3:0
Oct 9, 2021 Liga 3 - Seria 10
Luceafarul Oradea vs CSM Satu Mare
1:4
Apr 17, 2021 Liga 3 - Seria 10
CSM Satu Mare vs Luceafarul Oradea
5:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Luceafarul Oradea 10 / 100
CSM Satu Mare 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Luceafarul Oradea CSM Satu Mare

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CSM Satu Mare Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 6.20 goals as a typical output.

CSM Satu Mare let in goals in 72% of their last 46 matches.

Luceafarul Oradea found the back of the net in 40% of recent matches (30 games).

Solid form: Luceafarul Oradea remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS CSM Satu Mare
0 Goals Scored 1.88
0 Goals Conceded 1.5
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Luceafarul Oradea

(Home)
17 Aug
Luceafarul Oradea
2 : 9
Chisineu Cris
28 May
Luceafarul Oradea
3 : 3
CFR Cluj II
21 May
Progresul Somcuta Mare
5 : 1
Luceafarul Oradea
14 May
Luceafarul Oradea
1 : 1
Simleul Silvaniei
07 May
CSM Satu Mare
6 : 1
Luceafarul Oradea
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CSM Satu Mare

(Away)
12 Sept
Metaloglobus Bucharest
1 : 1
CSM Satu Mare
06 Sept
CSM Satu Mare
1 : 1
Politehnica Timisoara
29 Aug
Gloria Bistrita
1 : 0
CSM Satu Mare
22 Aug
CSM Satu Mare
0 : 0
FC Bihor
15 Aug
Cetatea Suceava
2 : 0
CSM Satu Mare
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