Sport Picks

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Luceafarul Oradea vs Progresul Somcuta Mare

Romania Romania

Liga 3 - Seria 10 2021/2022
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Progresul Somcuta Mare in this Liga 3 - Seria 10 2021/2022 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Progresul Somcuta Mare.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
Luceafarul Oradea
20%
Draws
48%
Progresul Somcuta Mare
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Progresul Somcuta Mare

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • Progresul Somcuta Mare have won more games recently than Luceafarul Oradea.
  • Win probability leans Progresul Somcuta Mare's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Progresul Somcuta Mare have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Luceafarul Oradea Clean Sheet 10%
Progresul Somcuta Mare Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Luceafarul Oradea Progresul Somcuta Mare
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 1 6
Draws 3 5
Losses 26 19
Goals Scored 0.7 1.43
Goals Conceded 4.63 2.57
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 3.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 21, 2022 Liga 3 - Seria 10
Progresul Somcuta Mare vs Luceafarul Oradea
5:1
Apr 22, 2022 Liga 3 - Seria 10
Luceafarul Oradea vs Progresul Somcuta Mare
0:1
Mar 19, 2022 Liga 3 - Seria 10
Progresul Somcuta Mare vs Luceafarul Oradea
5:0
Oct 16, 2021 Liga 3 - Seria 10
Luceafarul Oradea vs Progresul Somcuta Mare
1:5
Apr 24, 2021 Liga 3 - Seria 10
Luceafarul Oradea vs Progresul Somcuta Mare
0:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Luceafarul Oradea 10 / 100
Progresul Somcuta Mare 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Luceafarul Oradea Progresul Somcuta Mare

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Progresul Somcuta Mare Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Progresul Somcuta Mare has conceded goals in 83% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 4.20 goals as a typical output.

Progresul Somcuta Mare's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Luceafarul Oradea's goal record stands at 40% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Luceafarul Oradea VS Progresul Somcuta Mare
0.38 Goals Scored 0.88
5.75 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Luceafarul Oradea

(Home)
17 Aug
Luceafarul Oradea
2 : 9
Chisineu Cris
28 May
Luceafarul Oradea
3 : 3
CFR Cluj II
21 May
Progresul Somcuta Mare
5 : 1
Luceafarul Oradea
14 May
Luceafarul Oradea
1 : 1
Simleul Silvaniei
07 May
CSM Satu Mare
6 : 1
Luceafarul Oradea
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Progresul Somcuta Mare

(Away)
17 Aug
Progresul Somcuta Mare
1 : 12
CSM Satu Mare
28 May
SCM Zalau
5 : 2
Progresul Somcuta Mare
21 May
Progresul Somcuta Mare
5 : 1
Luceafarul Oradea
14 May
Progresul Somcuta Mare
0 : 2
CSM Satu Mare
07 May
CFR Cluj II
4 : 2
Progresul Somcuta Mare
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