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Luckenwalde vs Babelsberg

Germany Germany

Regionalliga Nordost
Sun, Sep 27, 2026
2 - 3
12:00 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

22' Event
Werbelow S.
37' Event
Salaske N.
60' Event
Kaus N.

AI Match Summary

Luckenwalde host Babelsberg in the Regionalliga Nordost. This one's hard to separate. Luckenwalde have averaged 0.76 scored and 1.72 conceded recently, against Babelsberg's 2.17 scored and 1.83 conceded. Head-to-head, Luckenwalde have won 2 to Babelsberg's 1, with 2 draws. They last met on Apr 17, 2026, ending 2:3. xG projections (1.13 - 1.75) back Babelsberg to edge this. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Luckenwalde
15%
Draws
85%
Babelsberg
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Babelsberg

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Babelsberg have won more games recently than Luckenwalde.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular Regionalliga Nordost form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Luckenwalde Clean Sheet 12%
Babelsberg Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Luckenwalde Babelsberg
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 4 11
Draws 8 6
Losses 17 12
Goals Scored 0.76 2.17
Goals Conceded 1.72 1.83
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 17, 2026 Regionalliga Nordost
Babelsberg vs Luckenwalde
2:3
Oct 24, 2025 Regionalliga Nordost
Luckenwalde vs Babelsberg
0:0
May 10, 2025 Regionalliga Nordost
Babelsberg vs Luckenwalde
1:2
Nov 23, 2024 Regionalliga Nordost
Luckenwalde vs Babelsberg
2:2
Mar 9, 2024 Regionalliga Nordost
Luckenwalde vs Babelsberg
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Luckenwalde Compare

Top Goalscorer Kaus N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Babelsberg Compare

Top Goalscorer Werbelow S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Salaske N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Luckenwalde 30 / 100
Babelsberg 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Luckenwalde Babelsberg

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Babelsberg Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Luckenwalde scored in 62% of their last 29 outings.

Babelsberg let in goals in 79% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Babelsberg lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Luckenwalde VS Babelsberg
0.63 Goals Scored 1.13
2.38 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Luckenwalde

(Home)
20 Sept
Greifswalder FC
3 : 1
Luckenwalde
15 Sept
Luckenwalde
0 : 2
BFC Preussen
12 Sept
Aue
2 : 1
Luckenwalde
30 Aug
Luckenwalde
0 : 2
BFC Dynamo
25 Aug
Luckenwalde
0 : 5
Erfurt
Page 1 of 6

Babelsberg

(Away)
19 Sept
Babelsberg
0 : 2
Hertha Berlin II
16 Sept
Chemnitzer
0 : 1
Babelsberg
12 Sept
Babelsberg
1 : 1
Hallescher
29 Aug
Zwickau
1 : 0
Babelsberg
26 Aug
Greifswalder FC
2 : 1
Babelsberg
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Erfurt 11 8 3 0 36:11 27
2 Chemnitzer 11 8 2 1 25:5 26
3 Hallescher 11 6 4 1 18:9 22
4 BFC Dynamo 11 6 3 2 20:12 21
5 Altglienicke 11 6 3 2 20:14 21
6 Aue 10 6 3 1 19:14 21
7 Jena 11 6 1 4 19:10 19
8 Greifswalder FC 11 5 4 2 23:16 19
9 Lokomotive Leipzig 11 4 3 4 23:23 15
10 Zwickau 10 4 2 4 12:16 14
11 Magdeburg II 11 4 1 6 20:23 13
12 BFC Preussen 11 2 4 5 14:17 10
13 Babelsberg 10 2 3 5 11:15 9
14 Hertha Berlin II 10 2 2 6 8:20 8
15 Chemie Leipzig 10 1 3 6 10:16 6
16 Rsv Eintracht 11 1 3 7 13:29 6
17 SV Tasmania Berlin 11 1 2 8 13:36 5
18 Luckenwalde 10 1 0 9 7:25 3
Promotion - 3. Liga 2027/2028 (Main)