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Luckenwalde vs BFC Dynamo

Germany Germany

Regionalliga Nordost
Our Tip

Match Events

23' Event
Bolke L.
31' Event
Mattmuller L.

AI Match Summary

BFC Dynamo in this Regionalliga Nordost matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored BFC Dynamo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Luckenwalde
20%
Draws
80%
BFC Dynamo
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: BFC Dynamo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • BFC Dynamo have won more games recently than Luckenwalde.
  • Model gives BFC Dynamo a 80% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Luckenwalde Clean Sheet 10%
BFC Dynamo Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Luckenwalde BFC Dynamo
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 5 12
Draws 8 9
Losses 15 7
Goals Scored 0.86 1.61
Goals Conceded 1.61 1.11
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 2.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 30, 2026 Regionalliga Nordost
Luckenwalde vs BFC Dynamo
0:2
May 10, 2026 Regionalliga Nordost
Luckenwalde vs BFC Dynamo
0:1
Mar 25, 2026 Regionalliga Nordost
BFC Dynamo vs Luckenwalde
0:1
Mar 11, 2025 Regionalliga Nordost
BFC Dynamo vs Luckenwalde
0:0
Aug 25, 2024 Regionalliga Nordost
Luckenwalde vs BFC Dynamo
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Luckenwalde Compare

Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

BFC Dynamo Compare

Top Goalscorer Bolke L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Mattmuller L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.87
Avg xA / game 1.14

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Luckenwalde 10 / 100
BFC Dynamo 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Luckenwalde BFC Dynamo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BFC Dynamo Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Luckenwalde's goal record stands at 68% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

BFC Dynamo let in goals in 61% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 0.80 goals.

Scoring Trends

Luckenwalde VS BFC Dynamo
0.75 Goals Scored 1.63
2.5 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Luckenwalde

(Home)
15 Sept
Luckenwalde
0 : 2
BFC Preussen
12 Sept
Aue
2 : 1
Luckenwalde
30 Aug
Luckenwalde
0 : 2
BFC Dynamo
25 Aug
Luckenwalde
0 : 5
Erfurt
14 Aug
Zwickau
2 : 1
Luckenwalde
Page 1 of 6

BFC Dynamo

(Away)
16 Sept
Lokomotive Leipzig
2 : 2
BFC Dynamo
10 Sept
BFC Dynamo
3 : 1
SV Tasmania Berlin
30 Aug
Luckenwalde
0 : 2
BFC Dynamo
25 Aug
BFC Dynamo
2 : 0
BFC Preussen
14 Aug
Hertha Berlin II
1 : 1
BFC Dynamo
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Erfurt 9 7 2 0 30:6 23
2 Chemnitzer 9 6 2 1 18:4 20
3 Aue 9 6 2 1 17:12 20
4 Greifswalder FC 9 4 4 1 20:14 16
5 Jena 9 5 1 3 13:7 16
6 Hallescher 9 4 4 1 12:6 16
7 BFC Dynamo 9 4 3 2 15:11 15
8 Altglienicke 9 4 3 2 16:13 15
9 Zwickau 9 4 2 3 11:13 14
10 Magdeburg II 9 4 1 4 19:18 13
11 Lokomotive Leipzig 9 3 3 3 18:18 12
12 Babelsberg 9 2 3 4 11:13 9
13 BFC Preussen 9 2 3 4 11:13 9
14 Chemie Leipzig 9 1 3 5 9:13 6
15 Rsv Eintracht 9 1 3 5 12:22 6
16 Hertha Berlin II 9 1 2 6 6:20 5
17 SV Tasmania Berlin 9 1 1 7 11:30 4
18 Luckenwalde 9 1 0 8 6:22 3
Promotion - 3. Liga 2027/2028 (Main)