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Luckenwalde vs BFC Preussen

Germany Germany

Regionalliga Nordost
Our Tip

Match Events

61' Event
Hausl C.
79' Event
Fontein P.

AI Match Summary

BFC Preussen in this Regionalliga Nordost matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored BFC Preussen.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Luckenwalde
20%
Draws
80%
BFC Preussen
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: BFC Preussen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Luckenwalde haven't matched BFC Preussen's recent run of results.
  • 80% — that's where the model lands on BFC Preussen taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • BFC Preussen have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Luckenwalde Clean Sheet 12%
BFC Preussen Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Luckenwalde BFC Preussen
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 5 12
Draws 8 6
Losses 16 12
Goals Scored 0.83 1.6
Goals Conceded 1.62 1.43
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 15, 2026 Regionalliga Nordost
Luckenwalde vs BFC Preussen
0:2
Mar 28, 2026 Regionalliga Nordost
BFC Preussen vs Luckenwalde
3:1
Aug 22, 2025 Regionalliga Nordost
Luckenwalde vs BFC Preussen
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Luckenwalde Compare

Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

BFC Preussen Compare

Top Goalscorer Hausl C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Fontein P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Luckenwalde 10 / 100
BFC Preussen 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Luckenwalde BFC Preussen

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BFC Preussen Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: BFC Preussen conceded in 87% of 30 recent games.

Luckenwalde's goal record stands at 66% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Away concern: BFC Preussen has suffered 1 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Luckenwalde VS BFC Preussen
0.63 Goals Scored 1.13
2.38 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Luckenwalde

(Home)
20 Sept
Greifswalder FC
3 : 1
Luckenwalde
15 Sept
Luckenwalde
0 : 2
BFC Preussen
12 Sept
Aue
2 : 1
Luckenwalde
30 Aug
Luckenwalde
0 : 2
BFC Dynamo
25 Aug
Luckenwalde
0 : 5
Erfurt
Page 1 of 6

BFC Preussen

(Away)
19 Sept
BFC Preussen
1 : 1
SV Tasmania Berlin
15 Sept
Luckenwalde
0 : 2
BFC Preussen
12 Sept
BFC Preussen
4 : 1
Magdeburg II
29 Aug
Erfurt
1 : 1
BFC Preussen
25 Aug
BFC Dynamo
2 : 0
BFC Preussen
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Erfurt 10 7 3 0 32:8 24
2 Chemnitzer 10 7 2 1 21:5 23
3 BFC Dynamo 11 6 3 2 20:12 21
4 Altglienicke 11 6 3 2 20:14 21
5 Aue 10 6 3 1 19:14 21
6 Jena 11 6 1 4 19:10 19
7 Hallescher 10 5 4 1 15:7 19
8 Greifswalder FC 11 5 4 2 23:16 19
9 Lokomotive Leipzig 10 4 3 3 20:19 15
10 Zwickau 10 4 2 4 12:16 14
11 Magdeburg II 11 4 1 6 20:23 13
12 BFC Preussen 10 2 4 4 12:14 10
13 Babelsberg 10 2 3 5 11:15 9
14 Hertha Berlin II 10 2 2 6 8:20 8
15 Chemie Leipzig 10 1 3 6 10:16 6
16 Rsv Eintracht 10 1 3 6 13:25 6
17 SV Tasmania Berlin 11 1 2 8 13:36 5
18 Luckenwalde 10 1 0 9 7:25 3
Promotion - 3. Liga 2027/2028 (Main)