Sport Picks
Match Events
11'
11'
Hajrulla R.
31'
31'
Assibey-Mensah R.
35'
35'
Fehler S.
AI Match Summary
The Regionalliga Nordost game between Luckenwalde and Erfurt finished 0-5, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Erfurt.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
0%
20%
80%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Erfurt
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
80%
/ Very High Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Erfurt come out ahead of Luckenwalde on wins alone.
- Model gives Erfurt a 80% chance of winning this.
- Regular Regionalliga Nordost form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- These two have met 5 times recently and Erfurt have taken 4 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Luckenwalde Clean Sheet 10%
Erfurt Clean Sheet 20%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Luckenwalde | Erfurt |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 30 |
| Wins | 5 | 18 |
| Draws | 7 | 7 |
| Losses | 16 | 5 |
| Goals Scored | 0.86 | 2.97 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.68 | 1.17 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.63 | 2.94 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 25, 2026 Regionalliga Nordost
Luckenwalde vs Erfurt
0:5
Dec 6, 2025 Regionalliga Nordost
Luckenwalde vs Erfurt
1:1
Jul 25, 2025 Regionalliga Nordost
Erfurt vs Luckenwalde
2:1
May 3, 2025 Regionalliga Nordost
Erfurt vs Luckenwalde
3:2
Nov 10, 2024 Regionalliga Nordost
Luckenwalde vs Erfurt
1:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Luckenwalde Compare
Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.32
Erfurt Compare
Top Goalscorer Hajrulla R.
1 Goals Assists Leader Assibey-Mensah R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.67
Avg xA / game 1.63
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Luckenwalde 10 / 100
Erfurt 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Luckenwalde Erfurt
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Erfurt Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
H2H data points to 3.60 goals as a typical output.
Luckenwalde scored in 68% of their last 28 games.
Defensive concern: Erfurt conceded in 73% of 30 recent games.
Scoring Trends
Luckenwalde VS Erfurt
0.63 Goals Scored 3.5
2.38 Goals Conceded 0.63
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
Luckenwalde
(Home) 20 Sept
Greifswalder FC
3 : 1 Luckenwalde
15 Sept
Luckenwalde
0 : 2 BFC Preussen
12 Sept
Aue
2 : 1 Luckenwalde
30 Aug
Luckenwalde
0 : 2 BFC Dynamo
25 Aug
Luckenwalde
0 : 5 Erfurt
Page 1 of 6
15 Sept
Luckenwalde
0 : 2 BFC Preussen
30 Aug
Luckenwalde
0 : 2 BFC Dynamo
25 Aug
Luckenwalde
0 : 5 Erfurt
08 Aug
Luckenwalde
2 : 3 SV Tasmania Berlin
24 Jul
Luckenwalde
1 : 3 Lokomotive Leipzig
Page 1 of 3
Erfurt
(Away) 19 Sept
Erfurt
2 : 2 Aue
15 Sept
Hertha Berlin II
1 : 2 Erfurt
11 Sept
Erfurt
5 : 0 Rsv Eintracht
29 Aug
Erfurt
1 : 1 BFC Preussen
25 Aug
Luckenwalde
0 : 5 Erfurt
Page 1 of 6
15 Sept
Hertha Berlin II
1 : 2 Erfurt
25 Aug
Luckenwalde
0 : 5 Erfurt
09 Aug
Jena
1 : 2 Erfurt
02 Aug
Hallescher
1 : 1 Erfurt
05 Jul
Union Muhlhausen
1 : 8 Erfurt
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Erfurt | 10 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 32:8 | 24 |
| 2 | Chemnitzer | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 21:5 | 23 |
| 3 | BFC Dynamo | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 20:12 | 21 |
| 4 | Altglienicke | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 20:14 | 21 |
| 5 | Aue | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 19:14 | 21 |
| 6 | Jena | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 19:10 | 19 |
| 7 | Hallescher | 10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 15:7 | 19 |
| 8 | Greifswalder FC | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 23:16 | 19 |
| 9 | Lokomotive Leipzig | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 20:19 | 15 |
| 10 | Zwickau | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 12:16 | 14 |
| 11 | Magdeburg II | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 20:23 | 13 |
| 12 | BFC Preussen | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 12:14 | 10 |
| 13 | Babelsberg | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 11:15 | 9 |
| 14 | Hertha Berlin II | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 8:20 | 8 |
| 15 | Chemie Leipzig | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 10:16 | 6 |
| 16 | Rsv Eintracht | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 13:25 | 6 |
| 17 | SV Tasmania Berlin | 11 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 13:36 | 5 |
| 18 | Luckenwalde | 10 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 7:25 | 3 |
Promotion - 3. Liga 2027/2028 (Main)
