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Luckenwalde vs Union Berlin

World World

Club Friendly 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

13' Event
Skarke T.
46'
Sub
Gollnack S. In: Konig P.
Out: Gollnack S.
46'
Sub
Maciejewski T. In: Dreihardt L.
Out: Maciejewski T.

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly 2025 game between Luckenwalde and Union Berlin finished 0-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Union Berlin.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Luckenwalde
35%
Draws
19%
Union Berlin
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Luckenwalde

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Union Berlin come out ahead of Luckenwalde on wins alone.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Luckenwalde taking it.
  • Regular Club Friendly 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Union Berlin have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Luckenwalde Clean Sheet 10%
Union Berlin Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Luckenwalde Union Berlin
Matches Played 26 30
Wins 5 8
Draws 11 9
Losses 10 13
Goals Scored 0.88 2.75
Goals Conceded 1.25 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 2.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 8, 2025 Club Friendly
Luckenwalde vs Union Berlin
0:3
Jul 12, 2023 Club Friendly
Luckenwalde vs Union Berlin
0:2
Mar 23, 2022 Club Friendly
Luckenwalde vs Union Berlin
4:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Luckenwalde Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Union Berlin Compare

Top Goalscorer Skarke T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ljubicic M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.5
Avg xA / game 1.53

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Luckenwalde 40 / 100
Union Berlin 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Luckenwalde Union Berlin

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Union Berlin let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 4.33 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Luckenwalde scored in 69% of their last 26 outings.

Solid form: Luckenwalde remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Luckenwalde VS Union Berlin
0.88 Goals Scored 2.75
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 100%
25% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Luckenwalde

(Home)
04 Aug
Magdeburg II
0 : 1
Luckenwalde
01 Aug
Rsv Eintracht
3 : 0
Luckenwalde
24 Jul
Luckenwalde
1 : 3
Lokomotive Leipzig
17 Jul
Luckenwalde
1 : 1
Halberstadt
14 Jul
Mahlsdorf
1 : 1
Luckenwalde
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Union Berlin

(Away)
02 Aug
Union Berlin
2 : 2
Cagliari
01 Aug
Dresden
2 : 1
Union Berlin
18 Jul
Aarau
2 : 1
Union Berlin
17 Jul
Winterthur
1 : 1
Union Berlin
12 Jul
Jena
2 : 0
Union Berlin
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