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Lucko vs Dugo Selo

Croatia Croatia

Druga NL
Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
Jugovic F.

AI Match Summary

The Druga NL game between Lucko and Dugo Selo finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Dugo Selo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Lucko
15%
Draws
59%
Dugo Selo
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Dugo Selo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

26% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Dugo Selo come out ahead of Lucko on wins alone.
  • 26% — that's where the model lands on Lucko taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Lucko Clean Sheet 19%
Dugo Selo Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lucko Dugo Selo
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 5 9
Draws 8 6
Losses 16 14
Goals Scored 1.03 0.72
Goals Conceded 1.62 1.24
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 18, 2026 Druga NL
Lucko vs Dugo Selo
0:1
May 23, 2026 Druga NL
Dugo Selo vs Lucko
2:0
Dec 3, 2025 Druga NL
Lucko vs Dugo Selo
0:0
Apr 13, 2022 3. HNL Center
Lucko vs Dugo Selo
1:2
Oct 2, 2021 3. HNL Center
Dugo Selo vs Lucko
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lucko Compare

Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Dugo Selo Compare

Top Goalscorer Jugovic F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lucko 49 / 100
Dugo Selo 23 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lucko Dugo Selo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lucko Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lucko's goal record stands at 66% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Defensive concern: Dugo Selo conceded in 62% of 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 1.60 goals when they meet.

Lucko went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Lucko VS Dugo Selo
1.25 Goals Scored 1.13
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.75
88% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Lucko

(Home)
26 Sept
Lucko
1 : 3
Zagora
18 Sept
Lucko
0 : 1
Dugo Selo
11 Sept
Uljanik Pula
2 : 2
Lucko
04 Sept
Lucko
0 : 1
Solin
29 Aug
Dragovoljac
0 : 3
Lucko
Page 1 of 6

Dugo Selo

(Away)
26 Sept
Dugo Selo
3 : 0
NK Inker Zapresic
18 Sept
Lucko
0 : 1
Dugo Selo
12 Sept
Dugo Selo
1 : 2
Varteks Varazdin (2011)
04 Sept
Uljanik Pula
3 : 0
Dugo Selo
29 Aug
Dugo Selo
1 : 0
Uskok Klis
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bjelovar 6 4 1 1 16:9 13
2 Uskok Klis 6 4 0 2 14:7 12
3 Uljanik Pula 6 3 2 1 14:13 11
4 Jarun 6 2 4 0 14:10 10
5 Trnje 6 3 1 2 10:7 10
6 Radnik Krizevci 6 3 1 2 10:9 10
7 Dugo Selo 6 3 1 2 7:6 10
8 Zagora 6 2 3 1 17:12 9
9 Solin 6 2 2 2 9:9 8
10 NK Inker Zapresic 6 2 1 3 9:11 7
11 Dragovoljac 6 2 1 3 5:8 7
12 Grobnican 6 2 1 3 8:13 7
13 Lucko 6 1 2 3 7:8 5
14 Slavonija Pozega 6 1 2 3 11:13 5
15 NK Koprivnica 6 1 1 4 8:16 4
16 Varteks Varazdin (2011) 6 1 1 4 4:12 4
Promotion - Prva NL 2027/2028 (Main)