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Lucko vs Gaj Mace

Croatia Croatia

3. HNL Center
Lucko Logo

Lucko

1 - 0
FT
Gaj Mace Logo

Gaj Mace

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Lucko in this 3. HNL Center matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Lucko.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Lucko
20%
Draws
44%
Gaj Mace
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Gaj Mace

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

36% / Low Confidence
  • Lucko have won more games recently than Gaj Mace.
  • Win probability leans Lucko's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Lucko Clean Sheet 16%
Gaj Mace Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lucko Gaj Mace
Matches Played 39 34
Wins 13 9
Draws 9 8
Losses 17 17
Goals Scored 1.31 1.32
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.88
Expected Goals (xG) 0.92 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 19, 2022 3. HNL Center
Lucko vs Gaj Mace
1:0
Sep 12, 2021 3. HNL Center
Gaj Mace vs Lucko
2:1
Mar 21, 2021 3. HNL Center
Gaj Mace vs Lucko
2:0
Aug 22, 2020 3. HNL Center
Lucko vs Gaj Mace
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lucko 84 / 100
Gaj Mace 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lucko Gaj Mace

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lucko Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lucko found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (39 games).

Gaj Mace let in goals in 79% of their last 34 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Lucko went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Lucko VS -
0.63 Goals Scored 0
2 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Lucko

(Home)
11 Sept
Uljanik Pula
2 : 2
Lucko
04 Sept
Lucko
0 : 1
Solin
29 Aug
Dragovoljac
0 : 3
Lucko
22 Aug
Lucko
1 : 1
Jarun
08 Aug
Karlovac
2 : 1
Lucko
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Gaj Mace

(Away)
09 Sept
Gaj Mace
1 : 7
Varazdin
27 Aug
Spansko
0 : 1
Gaj Mace
11 Sept
Gaj Mace
1 : 2
Varazdin
27 Aug
Gaj Mace
2 : 1
Karlovac
31 Aug
Bjelovar
1 : 0
Gaj Mace
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Zagorec Krapina 34 24 6 4 82:38 78
2 Dugo Selo 34 20 8 6 61:31 68
3 Trnje 34 18 9 7 64:43 63
4 Karlovac 34 17 11 6 68:24 62
5 Lucko 34 18 7 9 65:36 61
6 Maksimir 34 17 6 11 55:40 57
7 Vrbovec 34 14 7 13 56:59 49
8 Ravnice 34 11 14 9 37:42 47
9 Gaj Mace 34 13 7 14 53:51 46
10 HASK 34 11 12 11 46:45 45
11 Vrapce 34 11 10 13 56:48 43
12 Bistra 34 10 11 13 53:56 41
13 Kurilovec 34 8 12 14 39:44 36
14 Lukavec 34 8 9 17 37:69 33
15 Tresnjevka 34 7 8 19 53:78 29
16 Ponikve 34 7 7 20 32:53 28
17 Segesta 34 6 8 20 33:76 26
18 Mladost Petrinja 34 5 10 19 32:89 25
Promotion - 3. HNL - Promotion Play Offs (Main)