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Lucko vs Jadran Luka Ploce Prediction & H2H Stats

Croatia Croatia

Druga NL 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

31' Event
Gracin J.
37' Event
Maric N.
(Penalty)
50' Event
Blazevic M.

AI Match Summary

Jadran Luka Ploce in this Druga NL 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Jadran Luka Ploce.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Lucko
20%
Draws
57%
Jadran Luka Ploce
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Jadran Luka Ploce

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Jadran Luka Ploce lately — more wins on the board than Lucko.
  • 57% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Druga NL 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
Lucko Clean Sheet 17%
Jadran Luka Ploce Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lucko Jadran Luka Ploce
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 5 17
Draws 8 4
Losses 16 7
Goals Scored 1.03 1.79
Goals Conceded 1.62 1.14
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 16, 2026 Druga NL
Lucko vs Jadran Luka Ploce
2:3
Nov 15, 2025 Druga NL
Jadran Luka Ploce vs Lucko
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lucko Compare

Top Goalscorer Gracin J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Djolonga N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Jadran Luka Ploce Compare

Top Goalscorer Blazevic M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lucko 36 / 100
Jadran Luka Ploce 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lucko Jadran Luka Ploce

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Jadran Luka Ploce Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.50 goals as a typical output.

Lucko found the back of the net in 66% of recent matches (29 games).

Jadran Luka Ploce has conceded goals in 61% of their last 28 outings.

Lucko went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Lucko VS Jadran Luka Ploce
1.25 Goals Scored 1.63
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Lucko

(Home)
26 Sept
Lucko
1 : 3
Zagora
18 Sept
Lucko
0 : 1
Dugo Selo
11 Sept
Uljanik Pula
2 : 2
Lucko
04 Sept
Lucko
0 : 1
Solin
29 Aug
Dragovoljac
0 : 3
Lucko
Page 1 of 6

Jadran Luka Ploce

(Away)
26 Sept
Jadran Luka Ploce
1 : 0
Kustosija
19 Sept
Vukovar 1991
2 : 3
Jadran Luka Ploce
12 Sept
Jadran Luka Ploce
1 : 0
Orijent
06 Sept
Bijelo Brdo
1 : 0
Jadran Luka Ploce
02 Sept
Jadran Luka Ploce
1 : 1
Dubrava Zagreb
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Segesta 30 21 2 7 58:33 65
2 Kustosija 30 17 8 5 55:23 59
3 Jadran Luka Ploce 30 18 5 7 56:29 59
4 Mladost Zdralovi 30 17 8 5 48:32 59
5 Uljanik Pula 30 16 4 10 53:44 52
6 Uskok Klis 30 14 5 11 48:36 47
7 Radnik Krizevci 30 13 8 9 39:28 47
8 Solin 30 12 9 9 46:43 45
9 Trnje 30 8 7 15 37:48 31
10 Grobnican 30 7 10 13 46:60 31
11 Varteks Varazdin (2011) 30 8 7 15 34:48 31
12 Bjelovar 30 7 8 15 32:46 29
13 Lucko 30 8 5 17 32:46 29
14 Dugo Selo 30 7 8 15 22:43 29
15 Dragovoljac 30 6 10 14 28:49 28
16 Croatia Dakovo 30 7 4 19 30:56 25
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